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SHFSW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-10 → 2023-06-15

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

SHF Holdings, Inc. Warrants FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 29, 2022 🔗 www.shfinancial.org
👥 Employees: 41
SHF Holdings Inc is a financial services provider to cannabis-related businesses. It offers reliable access to banking solutions for cannabis, hemp, CBD, and ancillary operators, making communities safer, driving growth in local economies, and fostering long-term partnerships. The group, through its financial institution clients, implements accountability, transparency, monitoring, reporting, and risk mitigation measures while meeting Bank Secrecy Act obligations in line with FinCEN guidance on cannabis-related businesses. Its services include Program Management Support, Customer Generation, Ongoing Program Auditing, and Compliance Monitoring, among others.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-11.70%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+20.98%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +6.24%
Avg Winner: +45.97%
Avg Loser: -30.37%
Best: +52.44%
Worst: -32.20%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -15.71%
Avg Winner: +24.00%
Avg Loser: -28.95%
Best: +24.00%
Worst: -45.68%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -15.86%
Avg Winner: +20.00%
Avg Loser: -27.81%
Best: +20.00%
Worst: -53.97%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -27.96%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -27.96%
Best: -3.70%
Worst: -53.06%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -11.70%
Avg Winner: +10.38%
Avg Loser: -33.78%
Best: +24.50%
Worst: -51.11%
Trades: 3/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +20.98%
Best MFE: +52.44%
Avg Time to MFE: 55 min

On average, SHFSW alerts reach +20.98% profit potential within 55 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.85%
Worst MAE: -32.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, SHFSW typically reaches +20.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 16.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -5.59%
Best Gap +27.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How SHFSW compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SHFSW: -30.37% Sector: -0.22% -30.15%
EOD Gain
SHFSW: -41.83% Sector: +101.11% -142.94%
Avg MFE
SHFSW: +13.57% Sector: +5.23% +8.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SHFSW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-15 09:29:00 $0.02 +39.50% +24.00% +20.00% - +24.50% +40.00% +27.50% +27.50% WIN
2023-05-12 09:28:00 $0.02 - -12.00% -1.50% - +5.00% +10.00% -12.50% - -
2023-05-11 09:25:00 $0.03 -32.20% -29.15% -27.97% -27.12% -32.54% +27.12% -32.20% -23.73% LOSS
2023-04-25 09:26:00 $0.02 +52.44% - - - +1.63% +52.44% +5.69% +11.38% WIN
2023-03-20 09:27:00 $0.02 - - - -3.70% -17.70% -3.70% -17.28% - -
2022-10-10 09:25:00 $0.35 -28.53% -45.68% -53.97% -53.06% -51.11% +0.03% -0.29% -43.11% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SHFSW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -11.70% average gain, SHFSW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SHFSW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SHFSW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SHFSW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SHFSW historically offers an average upside of +20.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SHFSW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, SHFSW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SHFSW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SHFSW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -11.70%). This suggests SHFSW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.