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SNCY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-05 → 2024-03-19

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED (SIC 4512)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 17, 2021 🔗 www.suncountry.com
💰 Market Cap: $922.5M 👥 Employees: 3,279
Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc operates low-cost air carriers. The business has two operating segments: Passenger and Cargo. The passenger segment has two internal passenger groups Scheduled service and Charter. The Cargo segment provides air cargo services. The majority of the revenue is from the passenger segment.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.18%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.34%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -0.91%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -1.35%
Best: +0.37%
Worst: -2.90%
Trades: 1/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -1.48%
Best: +1.69%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 3/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +1.72%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 3/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +2.00%
Worst: -1.65%
Trades: 3/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.18%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +4.61%
Worst: -1.10%
Trades: 5/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.34%
Best MFE: +4.83%
Avg Time to MFE: 246 min

On average, SNCY alerts reach +2.34% profit potential within 246 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.64%
Worst MAE: -3.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.43:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, SNCY typically reaches +2.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.55%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED

How SNCY compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SNCY: -0.91% Sector: -0.01% -0.91%
EOD Gain
SNCY: +1.18% Sector: -0.10% +1.28%
Avg MFE
SNCY: +2.34% Sector: +1.90% +0.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SNCY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-19 09:29:37 $13.61 +0.37% +1.69% +1.32% +1.47% -1.10% +2.28% -0.44% -0.44% WIN
2023-12-12 09:29:00 $15.56 -1.22% -0.58% +0.90% +1.61% +1.54% +2.83% -2.06% - LOSS
2023-08-22 09:27:00 $14.86 -0.61% +0.07% -0.20% -0.67% +0.47% +0.87% -1.21% - LOSS
2023-07-07 09:26:00 $21.52 - +1.25% +1.72% +2.00% +3.11% +4.04% - - -
2023-07-05 09:29:00 $22.38 -2.90% -2.01% -1.47% -1.65% -0.94% -0.07% -3.17% -1.07% LOSS
2023-06-30 09:25:00 $22.35 -1.25% -0.40% -0.04% -0.49% +0.58% +1.61% -1.57% -1.57% LOSS
2022-07-05 09:25:00 $18.01 -0.78% -2.94% -2.03% -1.00% +4.61% +4.83% -3.05% -0.78% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on SNCY

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SNCY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SNCY Strategy →

Why Analyze SNCY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SNCY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SNCY historically offers an average upside of +2.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SNCY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, SNCY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SNCY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.18%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.