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SYF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-12-03

⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 2014 🔗 www.synchronyfinancial.com
💰 Market Cap: $27.59B 👥 Employees: 20,000
Synchrony Financial, originally a spinoff of GE Capital's retail financing business, is the largest provider of private-label credit cards in the United States by both outstanding receivables and purchasing volume. Synchrony partners with other firms to market its credit products in their physical stores as well as on their websites and mobile applications. Synchrony operates through three segments: retail card (private-label and co-branded general-purpose credit cards), payment solutions (promotional financing for large ticket purchases), and CareCredit (financing for elective healthcare procedures).
📊
20
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.28%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -3.60%
Trades: 6/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +2.84%
Worst: -5.23%
Trades: 8/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +3.39%
Worst: -5.30%
Trades: 7/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.95%
Best: +4.52%
Worst: -7.88%
Trades: 10/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +2.34%
Avg Loser: -2.43%
Best: +7.00%
Worst: -6.12%
Trades: 9/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.92%
Best MFE: +7.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 141 min

On average, SYF alerts reach +1.92% profit potential within 141 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.94%
Worst MAE: -3.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.94%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, SYF typically reaches +1.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.34%
Best Gap +0.53%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How SYF compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SYF: -0.38% Sector: -0.22% -0.16%
EOD Gain
SYF: -0.28% Sector: +101.11% -101.39%
Avg MFE
SYF: +1.92% Sector: +5.23% -3.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SYF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:25:35 $68.74 -0.25% -1.37% -1.36% -1.72% -2.33% +1.13% -0.04% -0.20% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:28:37 $46.67 -0.02% -0.69% -1.59% -1.14% -2.19% +0.56% -0.86% -0.34% LOSS
2024-06-26 09:27:49 $45.16 -0.24% -0.38% -0.33% -1.06% -0.62% +0.18% -0.69% -0.55% LOSS
2024-03-05 09:27:21 $40.55 +0.74% +2.84% +2.39% +2.61% +0.74% +3.63% -1.09% -0.12% WIN
2023-09-26 09:25:00 $31.43 -0.95% -0.25% -0.11% -0.19% -1.08% +0.29% -1.37% -1.08% LOSS
2023-04-19 09:28:00 $31.61 -1.68% -2.74% -3.23% -2.12% -2.59% +0.85% -1.30% -1.30% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:26:00 $31.14 -3.60% -5.23% -5.30% -7.88% -6.07% -0.45% -0.87% -1.77% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:26:00 $35.6 -0.79% -0.20% -0.28% -1.21% -1.69% +0.98% -0.17% - LOSS
2023-02-01 09:27:00 $33.0 -0.97% +1.67% +3.39% +4.52% +7.00% +7.94% -1.88% - LOSS
2023-01-23 09:29:00 $35.22 +1.90% -0.09% -0.54% -0.94% -1.87% +2.44% -0.52% +0.03% WIN
2023-01-11 09:25:00 $32.84 +0.27% +0.72% +0.41% +1.14% +2.80% +2.94% -0.14% +0.49% WIN
2023-01-10 09:27:00 $32.04 -0.09% -2.81% -2.00% +0.06% +2.50% +2.65% -3.62% +0.06% LOSS
2023-01-06 09:29:00 $31.75 +0.91% +0.63% +0.80% +1.80% +3.31% +3.40% -0.03% - WIN
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $34.92 -0.66% +0.37% -0.16% +0.70% +0.54% +1.79% -1.29% -0.60% LOSS
2022-11-14 09:25:00 $40.21 -1.75% -1.88% -2.24% -2.60% -6.12% -0.70% -1.94% -1.22% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $37.57 -0.56% - -0.72% -0.68% +1.92% +2.30% -1.57% -0.37% LOSS
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $43.81 +0.64% +2.53% +2.19% +0.80% +0.50% +2.92% +0.23% +0.53% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $44.03 +0.39% +0.79% +1.12% +1.53% -0.55% +2.08% -0.18% +0.43% WIN
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $44.84 -0.71% +0.08% +0.29% +0.54% -1.58% +1.61% -0.87% -0.43% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $43.21 -0.13% -0.42% -0.14% +0.19% +1.78% +1.92% -0.69% -0.28% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SYF Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.28% average gain, SYF alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SYF for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SYF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SYF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SYF historically offers an average upside of +1.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SYF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, SYF shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SYF may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SYF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.28%). This suggests SYF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.