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TDW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-09 → 2023-12-29

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 01, 2017 🔗 www.tdw.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.99B 👥 Employees: 7,700
Tidewater Inc provides marine and transportation services to the offshore energy industry. The company's vessels and associated services support all phases of offshore crude oil and natural gas (also referred to as oil and gas) exploration activities, field development, production, and maintenance, as well as windfarm development and maintenance. Its services include towing and anchor handling for mobile offshore drilling units; transporting supplies and personnel necessary to sustain drilling, workovers, production activities, field abandonment, dismantlement, and restoration activities; and Others. The group manages its business through five segments including the Americas, Asia Pacific, Middle East, Europe/Mediterranean, and West Africa.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.26%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.23%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +0.64%
Worst: -2.08%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -1.37%
Best: +0.82%
Worst: -1.83%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.75%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +0.34%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.40%
Worst: +0.08%
Trades: 3/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.19%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +0.96%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.23%
Best MFE: +1.75%
Avg Time to MFE: 158 min

On average, TDW alerts reach +1.23% profit potential within 158 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.88%
Worst MAE: -2.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.65:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, TDW typically reaches +1.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.99%
Best Gap +0.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WATER TRANSPORTATION

How TDW compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TDW: -0.80% Sector: +0.05% -0.85%
EOD Gain
TDW: -1.19% Sector: +0.12% -1.31%
Avg MFE
TDW: +1.23% Sector: +2.60% -1.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TDW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-29 09:27:00 $72.9 +0.64% +0.82% +0.34% +0.08% -1.08% +1.00% -0.08% +0.19% WIN
2022-12-30 09:25:00 $36.5 -2.08% -0.90% -1.59% +0.40% +0.96% +1.75% -2.63% -2.60% LOSS
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $32.15 -0.96% -1.83% -1.00% +0.30% -3.45% +0.93% -2.92% -0.56% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on TDW

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TDW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TDW Strategy →

Why Analyze TDW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TDW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TDW historically offers an average upside of +1.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TDW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, TDW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TDW performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.26%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.