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TXRH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-22 → 2023-03-14

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. RETAIL-EATING PLACES (SIC 5812)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 05, 2004 🔗 www.texasroadhouse.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.61B 👥 Employees: 95,000
Texas Roadhouse Inc is a restaurant company operating predominantly in the casual dining segment. The company manages its restaurant and franchising operations by concept and, as a result, has identified Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, Jaggers, and retail initiatives as separate operating segments. In addition, it has identified Texas Roadhouse and Bubba's 33 as reportable segments. Maximum revenue for the company is generated from the Texas Roadhouse segment, which is a moderately priced, full-service, casual dining restaurant concept offering steaks, a selection of ribs, seafood, chicken, pork chops, pulled pork, vegetable plates, and an assortment of hamburgers, salads, and sandwiches.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.42%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.18%
Best: +1.53%
Worst: -0.18%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +2.74%
Worst: -1.51%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -4.32%
Best: +1.76%
Worst: -4.32%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -4.50%
Best: +2.46%
Worst: -4.50%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +1.81%
Worst: -2.90%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.12%
Best MFE: +3.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 132 min

On average, TXRH alerts reach +2.12% profit potential within 132 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.01%
Worst MAE: -0.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

267.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 267.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, TXRH typically reaches +2.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.32%
Best Gap +1.92%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How TXRH compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TXRH: +0.42% Sector: -0.12% +0.55%
EOD Gain
TXRH: +0.06% Sector: +6.34% -6.28%
Avg MFE
TXRH: +2.12% Sector: +2.99% -0.87%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TXRH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $102.74 +1.53% +2.74% +1.76% +2.46% +1.81% +2.95% +1.36% +1.92% WIN
2022-11-07 09:25:00 $98.91 +0.08% -1.51% -4.32% -4.50% -2.90% +0.32% -0.23% -0.06% WIN
2022-04-13 09:25:00 $81.75 -0.18% +0.44% +1.48% +1.68% +1.80% +3.28% -0.61% -0.61% LOSS
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $89.02 +0.27% +0.52% +1.61% +1.77% -0.45% +1.94% -0.55% +0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on TXRH

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TXRH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TXRH Strategy →

Why Analyze TXRH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TXRH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TXRH historically offers an average upside of +2.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TXRH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, TXRH shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TXRH performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.42%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.