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VHC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-30 → 2023-05-15

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

VirnetX Holding Corp Common Stock PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS (SIC 6794)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 30, 1999 🔗 www.virnetx.com
💰 Market Cap: $95.3M 👥 Employees: 23
VirnetX Holding Corp is engaged in the business of commercializing a portfolio of patents. It is an Internet security software and technology company with patented technology for secure communications. The company's software and technology solutions, including its Secure Domain Name Registry and Technology, VirnetX One, War Room, VirnetX Matrix, and GABRIEL Connection Technology, are designed to be device and location-independent, and enable a secure real-time communication environment for all types of enterprise applications, services and critical infrastructures.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
78.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1171.74%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+11.90%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +2.66%
Worst: -3.47%
Trades: 6/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 64.3%
Avg Gain: +2.24%
Avg Winner: +4.12%
Avg Loser: -1.91%
Best: +9.14%
Worst: -4.09%
Trades: 9/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.88%
Avg Winner: +6.11%
Avg Loser: -3.05%
Best: +14.72%
Worst: -11.48%
Trades: 6/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.59%
Avg Winner: +6.04%
Avg Loser: -3.32%
Best: +26.07%
Worst: -10.42%
Trades: 7/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 78.6%
Avg Gain: +1171.74%
Avg Winner: +1492.69%
Avg Loser: -7.59%
Best: +2071.43%
Worst: -9.98%
Trades: 11/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.90%
Best MFE: +65.97%
Avg Time to MFE: 63 min

On average, VHC alerts reach +11.90% profit potential within 63 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.33%
Worst MAE: -12.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, VHC typically reaches +11.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap +0.39%
Best Gap +6.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS

How VHC compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VHC: +0.05% Sector: +0.28% -0.23%
EOD Gain
VHC: +1171.74% Sector: +167.77% +1003.97%
Avg MFE
VHC: +11.90% Sector: +9.02% +2.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VHC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-05-15 09:28:00 $0.42 - +2.38% +2.38% +0.05% +0.64% +4.95% -1.43% - -
2023-05-10 09:27:00 $0.38 +2.60% +2.37% +3.68% - - +6.58% - +6.29% WIN
2023-05-09 09:27:00 $0.44 -0.89% +9.14% -4.31% +0.23% +1813.88% +15.88% -12.60% -5.45% LOSS
2023-04-21 09:28:00 $0.49 +2.37% +4.34% +4.67% +3.17% +2057.63% +21.80% -0.20% +0.31% WIN
2023-04-19 09:25:00 $0.6 +1.24% +3.20% -11.48% -10.42% -9.98% +3.33% - +3.33% WIN
2023-04-18 09:25:00 $0.5 +0.30% +6.20% +10.90% +26.07% +25.37% +65.97% -4.02% -1.20% WIN
2023-04-11 09:26:00 $1.54 +0.45% -0.97% -0.97% -0.32% -5.19% +0.65% -0.65% +0.65% WIN
2023-04-10 09:28:00 $1.57 -1.27% - -1.27% -1.27% +1887.26% +1.27% -1.27% - LOSS
2023-04-06 09:28:00 $1.52 -0.06% +3.94% +0.33% +1.66% +1952.63% +4.61% -1.32% - LOSS
2023-04-05 09:26:00 $1.57 -0.64% +1.27% -0.01% -0.65% +1810.83% +2.55% -0.64% +1.91% LOSS
2023-04-04 09:28:00 $1.4 - -0.67% -0.04% -0.67% +2071.43% +17.86% -1.43% - -
2023-04-03 09:26:00 $1.34 +2.66% - -1.49% +0.69% +1959.70% +4.48% -3.63% +2.24% WIN
2023-03-31 09:29:00 $1.44 -3.47% -4.09% -4.82% -6.60% +1719.44% +0.69% -0.69% - LOSS
2023-03-30 09:28:00 $2.31 -2.60% +4.29% +14.72% +10.39% +1120.78% +16.02% -4.76% -2.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 78.6% Baseline on VHC

The 78.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VHC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VHC Strategy →

Why Analyze VHC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VHC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VHC historically offers an average upside of +11.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VHC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.6%, VHC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VHC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1171.74%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.