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VRRM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-24 → 2023-07-19

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Verra Mobility Corporation Class A Common Stock TRANSPORTATION SERVICES (SIC 4700)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 06, 2017 🔗 www.verramobility.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.40B 👥 Employees: 1,879
Verra Mobility Corp is a provider of smart mobility technology solutions, principally operating throughout the United States, Australia, Europe and Canada. The company develops and uses technology and data intelligence to help make transportation safer and easier. It operates in three segments namely Commercial Services, Government Solutions, and Parking Solutions. It generates maximum revenue from the Commercial Services segment. The commercial Services segment delivers tolling and violation management services to rental car companies, commercial fleet vehicle owners, and violation issuing authorities.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +0.53%
Worst: -0.80%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +0.75%
Worst: -0.74%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +0.60%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +0.43%
Worst: -0.77%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.70%
Best MFE: +1.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 4 min

On average, VRRM alerts reach +0.70% profit potential within 4 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.29%
Worst MAE: -1.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.46:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.46x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, VRRM typically reaches +0.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.25%
Best Gap +1.26%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TRANSPORTATION SERVICES

How VRRM compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VRRM: +0.03% Sector: -0.21% +0.24%
EOD Gain
VRRM: -0.17% Sector: +900.40% -900.57%
Avg MFE
VRRM: +0.70% Sector: +3.46% -2.76%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VRRM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-07-19 09:26:00 $20.69 +1.11% +0.53% +0.75% +0.60% +0.43% +1.26% +0.72% +1.26% WIN
2023-02-24 09:27:00 $16.98 -1.06% -0.80% -0.74% -1.09% -0.77% +0.15% -1.30% -0.77% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on VRRM

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VRRM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VRRM Strategy →

Why Analyze VRRM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VRRM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VRRM historically offers an average upside of +0.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VRRM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, VRRM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VRRM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.