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WING Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-22 → 2024-10-30

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 12, 2015 🔗 www.wingstop.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.54B 👥 Employees: 1,335
Founded in 1994 in Garland, Texas, Wingstop is a restaurant operator specializing in indulgent bone-in and boneless chicken wings, chicken tenders, fries, and, recently, chicken sandwiches. The firm's footprint has grown quickly since its inception, expanding to 2,932 global stores at the end of the third quarter of 2025. With a 98% franchised model, Wingstop generates the lion's share of its revenue from franchise royalties and advertising fees, with the remainder derived from a small footprint of company-owned stores.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-2.42%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.42%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -4.68%
Best: +2.08%
Worst: -5.62%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.20%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.20%
Best: -1.22%
Worst: -7.27%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.04%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.04%
Best: -0.30%
Worst: -7.85%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.98%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.98%
Best: -2.56%
Worst: -4.99%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.03%
Best: -0.08%
Worst: -10.22%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.07%
Best MFE: +3.04%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, WING alerts reach +1.07% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.16%
Worst MAE: -10.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.21:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, WING typically reaches +1.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -1.49%
Best Gap +0.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How WING compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WING: -2.42% Sector: -0.12% -2.30%
EOD Gain
WING: -5.03% Sector: +6.34% -11.37%
Avg MFE
WING: +1.07% Sector: +2.99% -1.91%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WING alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-30 09:27:13 $323.0 -5.62% -7.12% -6.97% -4.99% -10.22% -1.27% -4.95% -2.40% LOSS
2023-05-03 09:25:00 $218.13 -3.73% -7.27% -7.85% -4.38% -0.08% +1.45% -10.14% -2.81% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:28:00 $188.02 +2.08% -1.22% -0.30% -2.56% -4.80% +3.04% -0.40% +0.74% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WING Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -2.42% average gain, WING alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider WING for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze WING with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WING. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WING historically offers an average upside of +1.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WING Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, WING shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests WING may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WING shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -2.42%). This suggests WING is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.