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WULF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 307 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-14 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

TeraWulf Inc. Common Stock FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 14, 2021 🔗 www.terawulf.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.91B 👥 Employees: 12
TeraWulf Inc is a digital asset technology company that is engaged in digital infrastructure and sustainable energy development. It is involved in supporting environmentally conscious bitcoin mining operations by developing and operating facilities within the United States. The company's bitcoin mining facilities are powered by clean, affordable, and reliable energy sources. Its primary source of revenue stems from the mining of bitcoin conducted at the company's mining facility sites. Additionally, the company occasionally generates revenue through the provision of miner hosting services to third-party entities.
📊
307
Total Alerts
🎯
45.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.31%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.94%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +10.08%
Worst: -8.51%
Trades: 118/175

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.5%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +2.98%
Avg Loser: -2.43%
Best: +24.29%
Worst: -9.54%
Trades: 121/180

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.2%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +3.52%
Avg Loser: -2.92%
Best: +16.84%
Worst: -10.44%
Trades: 120/180

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +3.79%
Avg Loser: -3.69%
Best: +19.56%
Worst: -13.28%
Trades: 133/170

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +6.23%
Avg Loser: -5.79%
Best: +33.63%
Worst: -21.31%
Trades: 138/165

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.71%
Best MFE: +39.76%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, WULF alerts reach +5.71% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.58%
Worst MAE: -15.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.21x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 307 alerts, WULF typically reaches +5.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 307
Gap Up % 30.9%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +4.71%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How WULF compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WULF: -0.31% Sector: -0.22% -0.09%
EOD Gain
WULF: -0.32% Sector: +101.11% -101.43%
Avg MFE
WULF: +5.72% Sector: +5.23% +0.49%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WULF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:33 $4.92 -0.20% +0.23% -0.91% -0.10% -1.02% +1.83% -1.12% -0.41% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:26 $4.88 -3.18% -3.29% -3.48% -2.29% +0.20% +0.20% -4.51% -0.51% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:16 $4.75 -1.37% -0.84% +1.29% +1.16% +2.11% +7.79% -2.32% -1.16% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:37 $5.1 -1.67% -0.98% +1.27% -0.29% -6.67% +1.37% -2.35% -0.59% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:30 $5.15 -2.33% -1.51% -1.84% -1.84% -0.39% +3.11% -3.30% -1.36% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:17 $5.34 +3.28% +1.50% +0.19% +0.19% -5.81% +4.87% +0.19% +0.37% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:40 $5.15 +2.23% -1.10% -0.39% +1.84% - +4.27% -0.39% - WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:23 $5.18 +1.35% +0.29% -0.74% +0.06% -2.12% +2.12% +0.19% +0.39% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:01 $4.97 +2.31% +3.72% +2.92% +2.41% +4.23% +4.53% -0.40% +0.60% WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:28 $4.23 +6.74% +7.68% +7.09% +15.13% +18.44% +19.86% +0.47% +1.47% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:48 $5.11 +1.17% +0.59% -0.78% +0.20% -6.65% +2.74% -2.35% -0.20% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:21 $4.84 +1.03% +3.29% +3.77% +0.52% +3.51% +7.02% -1.24% -0.21% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:56 $4.62 +0.65% -1.19% -0.75% +0.61% +2.38% +4.76% -3.68% -0.43% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:00 $4.61 +0.54% -4.56% -3.15% -3.36% +0.65% +4.56% +0.43% +2.82% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:10 $5.45 -0.04% -2.80% -1.28% -4.68% -18.72% +1.28% -2.94% +0.73% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:33 $6.48 -1.39% -1.54% -0.46% +1.39% -2.55% +7.72% -2.62% +0.31% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:08 $6.07 +3.54% +4.45% +5.68% +3.79% +1.81% +11.20% -0.49% -0.49% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:13 $5.95 -1.01% -1.01% -0.50% -2.44% +4.71% +6.72% -5.71% +0.08% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:03 $6.44 +1.24% -5.12% -4.36% -6.06% -7.45% +1.55% -0.77% +0.16% WIN
2025-01-17 09:27:43 $6.32 -1.42% -3.80% -1.74% -3.72% +1.27% +5.38% -4.27% -1.58% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WULF Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.0% win rate and -0.31% average gain, WULF alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider WULF for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze WULF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WULF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WULF historically offers an average upside of +5.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WULF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.0%, WULF shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests WULF may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WULF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.31%). This suggests WULF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.