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XELB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-01 → 2023-06-07

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 07, 2001 🔗 www.xcelbrands.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.0M 👥 Employees: 21
Xcel Brands Inc is a media and brand management company. It is engaged in design, merchandising and planning, sourcing and production, licensing, marketing, and brand development. The company offers branded apparel, footwear, accessories, jewelry, home goods, and other consumer products. Its brand portfolio consists of the Isaac Mizrahi, Judith Ripka, H Halston, C Wonder, and the Highline Collective brands. The company licenses its brands to third parties, provides certain designs, production, and marketing services, and generates licensing, design, and service fee revenues through contractual arrangements and other agreements.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+657.90%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.40%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -1.62%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.50%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.76%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -8.92%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -8.81%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.81%
Best: -4.30%
Worst: -14.85%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.54%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.54%
Best: -4.00%
Worst: -10.89%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +657.90%
Avg Winner: +657.90%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +900.00%
Worst: +5.77%
Trades: 4/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.40%
Best MFE: +6.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 182 min

On average, XELB alerts reach +1.40% profit potential within 182 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.54%
Worst MAE: -7.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.39:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, XELB typically reaches +1.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.95%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS

How XELB compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XELB: -0.87% Sector: +0.28% -1.15%
EOD Gain
XELB: +595.32% Sector: +167.77% +427.55%
Avg MFE
XELB: +2.95% Sector: +9.02% -6.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XELB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-07 09:25:00 $0.94 -1.62% -4.59% -4.30% -4.74% +5.77% +6.84% -4.91% -0.89% LOSS
2023-06-06 09:25:00 $1.01 -0.99% -8.92% -14.85% -10.89% +880.20% - -0.99% -4.95% LOSS
2023-05-31 09:26:00 $0.92 - - - - +845.65% -3.25% -7.61% - -
2022-06-01 09:25:00 $1.5 - - -7.27% -4.00% +900.00% +2.00% -0.67% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on XELB

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XELB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XELB Strategy →

Why Analyze XELB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XELB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XELB historically offers an average upside of +1.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XELB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, XELB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XELB performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +657.90%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.