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ALAB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-21 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 20, 2024 🔗 www.asteralabs.com
💰 Market Cap: $28.66B 👥 Employees: 440
Astera Labs Inc designs and delivers semiconductor-based connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure. Its Intelligent Connectivity Platform integrates semiconductor technology, microcontrollers, sensors, and software to enhance performance, scalability, and data management. The company offers products such as integrated circuits (ICs), boards, and modules, catering to hyperscalers and system OEMs. The company's solutions focus on data, network, and memory management in AI-driven platforms.
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
59.3%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.06%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+5.60%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.56%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +3.92%
Worst: -3.58%
Trades: 14/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +3.74%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +10.28%
Worst: -5.19%
Trades: 12/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +3.07%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +8.44%
Worst: -7.74%
Trades: 15/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 59.3%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +3.18%
Avg Loser: -4.92%
Best: +12.27%
Worst: -9.33%
Trades: 16/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +5.63%
Avg Loser: -5.12%
Best: +16.97%
Worst: -18.47%
Trades: 12/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.60%
Best MFE: +21.23%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, ALAB alerts reach +5.60% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.00%
Worst MAE: -5.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.00%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, ALAB typically reaches +5.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 29.6%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +1.02%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How ALAB compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALAB: -0.03% Sector: -0.04% +0.01%
EOD Gain
ALAB: -0.35% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.42%
Avg MFE
ALAB: +5.60% Sector: +2.71% +2.89%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALAB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:26:41 $87.82 +1.98% +2.17% +3.73% +3.33% +0.42% +4.76% -0.60% -0.34% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:07 $90.69 +0.59% -0.89% -0.04% -1.87% -3.52% +1.20% -1.81% +0.88% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:31 $97.5 +2.33% +5.64% +3.25% +1.38% -5.60% +8.59% -2.35% -0.40% WIN
2025-02-10 09:27:51 $104.25 -2.12% -1.49% -2.80% -2.33% -0.92% +1.06% -4.06% -1.19% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:45 $89.31 +3.92% +2.41% +5.30% +6.16% +9.86% +13.03% -2.54% -0.46% WIN
2025-01-28 09:29:53 $88.9 -3.58% -4.35% -1.31% +0.10% +0.82% +1.97% -5.50% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:43 $102.0 -2.24% -2.54% -3.42% -6.01% -18.47% +0.98% -5.86% +0.24% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:29:06 $130.31 +0.15% -0.33% +1.10% +1.53% +3.32% +4.52% -3.45% -0.03% WIN
2024-12-04 09:27:14 $117.09 -0.88% +0.84% +0.76% +0.47% -1.55% +3.51% -1.96% -0.34% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:28:09 $103.0 +0.98% +2.85% +3.58% +1.32% +1.09% +5.21% -1.63% -0.64% WIN
2024-11-11 09:25:23 $100.15 -1.28% -4.86% -7.74% -9.33% -7.89% +0.35% -0.23% -0.15% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:27:51 $89.32 -0.18% -0.37% +0.25% +1.05% +9.91% +10.48% -3.16% +0.76% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:26:02 $85.55 +2.46% +5.03% +6.16% +4.70% +12.11% +13.79% -1.68% +0.94% WIN
2024-10-09 09:28:24 $60.54 +1.95% +3.77% +1.13% +2.30% +1.12% +4.31% -1.80% +1.02% WIN
2024-10-01 09:29:45 $52.77 -0.58% -0.74% -0.21% -2.23% -3.96% +0.44% -0.70% -0.11% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:25:18 $40.5 +0.10% -0.80% +0.02% -2.07% -0.25% +1.48% -1.58% +0.35% WIN
2024-07-01 09:27:47 $61.07 -1.46% -5.19% -6.12% -5.99% -5.78% -0.47% -0.93% -0.93% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:25:25 $81.6 -2.25% -2.51% -3.27% -4.80% -8.30% -0.86% -0.86% -1.32% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:27:32 $81.9 +0.01% +0.09% +0.45% +6.86% +4.64% +8.17% -2.03% -0.76% WIN
2024-04-22 09:27:02 $65.0 +1.92% -0.26% +2.31% +0.55% +1.22% +5.74% -0.67% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 59.3% Baseline on ALAB

The 59.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALAB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALAB Strategy →

Why Analyze ALAB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALAB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALAB historically offers an average upside of +5.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALAB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 59.3%, ALAB shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALAB performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.