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AMAT Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 173 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AMAT alerts reach +1.81% profit potential within 136 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.69%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 173 alerts, AMAT typically reaches +1.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
How AMAT compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AMAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:26:34 | $175.45 | -0.85% | -0.14% | -1.03% | -0.79% | -3.56% | +0.31% | -1.51% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:25:00 | $179.55 | -0.12% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +0.40% | +0.75% | +1.10% | -0.70% | -0.07% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:13 | $179.0 | -2.05% | -1.99% | -2.32% | -2.55% | -2.08% | +0.68% | -0.59% | +0.56% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:25:28 | $178.0 | -0.67% | -1.27% | -0.76% | -1.90% | -1.93% | +0.88% | -1.12% | +0.87% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:26:15 | $192.29 | -0.71% | -1.14% | -1.33% | -1.17% | -0.12% | +0.71% | -0.44% | +0.37% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:25:08 | $185.39 | +0.16% | -0.05% | -0.21% | +0.98% | +0.59% | +3.41% | -1.28% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:27:21 | $175.43 | +0.45% | +1.87% | +2.07% | +2.43% | +1.17% | +2.82% | -0.32% | -0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-12-17 | 09:25:07 | $169.29 | -0.44% | +0.76% | +0.04% | +0.43% | +0.62% | +0.86% | -0.54% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-16 | 09:27:41 | $169.9 | -0.49% | - | +0.59% | +0.14% | -0.29% | +1.08% | -0.62% | +0.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:25:07 | $169.11 | -0.45% | +0.72% | +0.87% | +0.03% | +0.14% | +1.43% | -0.66% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-10 | 09:27:11 | $172.41 | -0.09% | -0.42% | -1.01% | -1.04% | -2.46% | +0.85% | +0.34% | +0.63% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-05 | 09:27:26 | $176.66 | +1.11% | +0.16% | -0.64% | -1.18% | -2.62% | +1.56% | -0.22% | -0.07% | WIN |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:28:01 | $181.59 | -0.02% | +0.23% | +0.10% | +0.10% | +0.86% | +0.92% | -0.43% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-29 | 09:28:41 | $176.44 | -0.66% | -0.18% | +0.19% | +0.43% | -0.98% | +1.13% | -1.01% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:26:50 | $176.81 | -0.66% | -0.79% | -1.70% | -2.09% | -1.28% | +0.21% | -0.35% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-15 | 09:29:56 | $168.17 | +0.39% | +2.07% | +2.84% | +1.87% | +0.42% | +3.51% | -0.50% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:28:20 | $186.79 | +0.04% | -0.58% | -0.41% | -0.09% | -0.42% | +0.44% | -0.26% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-10-17 | 09:28:49 | $188.99 | -1.26% | -0.93% | -0.90% | -0.58% | -3.04% | +0.96% | +0.01% | +0.53% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-16 | 09:25:49 | $194.0 | -1.92% | -2.39% | -3.65% | -2.38% | -4.85% | +0.26% | - | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-04 | 09:27:29 | $204.5 | -0.32% | -0.04% | -1.19% | -1.96% | -1.24% | +0.24% | +0.24% | +0.06% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AMAT Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 52.6% win rate, AMAT has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AMAT profitable.
🔧 Fix AMAT Risk/Reward →Why Analyze AMAT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMAT historically offers an average upside of +1.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AMAT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.6%, AMAT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AMAT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.00%). This suggests AMAT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.