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AMBA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-01 → 2024-11-27
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AMBA alerts reach +3.27% profit potential within 97 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.01%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, AMBA typically reaches +3.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
How AMBA compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AMBA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-27 | 09:29:55 | $79.6 | -2.64% | -0.82% | -2.80% | -7.07% | -8.99% | +2.16% | -1.62% | +0.23% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-28 | 09:25:52 | $63.77 | -4.13% | -2.35% | -6.59% | -4.26% | -8.42% | +0.44% | -1.52% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-30 | 09:27:00 | $58.68 | -0.39% | +4.40% | +5.44% | +5.64% | +2.83% | +7.70% | -2.52% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-31 | 09:29:00 | $68.91 | +2.10% | +1.55% | +2.38% | -0.16% | +4.95% | +5.28% | -2.02% | -0.28% | WIN |
| 2022-03-01 | 09:25:00 | $111.15 | -2.16% | -6.63% | -7.54% | -7.27% | -13.65% | +0.75% | -2.38% | - | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AMBA Shows Negative Expectancy
With 40.0% win rate and -0.77% average gain, AMBA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AMBA for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AMBA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMBA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMBA historically offers an average upside of +3.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AMBA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, AMBA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AMBA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AMBA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.77%). This suggests AMBA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.