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MRVL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 251 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Marvell Technology, Inc. Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 27, 2000 🔗 www.marvell.com
💰 Market Cap: $68.04B 👥 Employees: 7,042
Marvell Technology is a fabless chip designer focused on wired networking, where it has the second-highest market share. Marvell serves the data center, carrier, enterprise, automotive, and consumer end markets with processors, optical and copper transceivers, switches, and storage controllers.
📊
251
Total Alerts
🎯
50.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.06%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +2.79%
Worst: -6.71%
Trades: 115/132

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +5.93%
Worst: -6.93%
Trades: 112/139

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +5.66%
Worst: -9.08%
Trades: 110/140

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: +7.65%
Worst: -10.44%
Trades: 120/131

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.2%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.59%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +11.35%
Worst: -10.67%
Trades: 126/125

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.31%
Best MFE: +12.17%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, MRVL alerts reach +2.31% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.08%
Worst MAE: -5.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.08%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 251 alerts, MRVL typically reaches +2.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 251
Gap Up % 40.6%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +2.61%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How MRVL compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MRVL: -0.16% Sector: -0.04% -0.12%
EOD Gain
MRVL: +0.06% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.02%
Avg MFE
MRVL: +2.31% Sector: +2.71% -0.40%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MRVL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:40 $102.93 -2.25% -1.86% -0.61% +0.91% +3.48% +3.98% -2.63% +0.04% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:22 $105.9 -1.23% -1.20% -0.33% +0.32% -2.27% +0.82% -1.97% -0.52% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:57 $106.82 -0.95% +0.25% +0.63% +0.30% -1.31% +1.12% -1.56% -0.07% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:00 $111.8 - +0.07% +0.23% +0.44% +0.89% +1.56% -0.72% -0.01% -
2025-02-07 09:27:12 $121.65 +0.09% -2.12% -4.44% -6.36% -9.07% +0.13% -0.79% -0.20% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:38 $116.42 +0.76% +0.05% -0.22% +0.24% +2.42% +2.63% -0.79% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-05 09:25:41 $113.0 +0.13% -1.79% -0.81% +0.80% +3.06% +3.41% -1.98% -0.89% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:03 $108.18 -0.12% -0.79% +1.03% +2.93% +1.40% +3.14% -2.31% -0.28% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:27 $109.2 -0.13% +0.10% +1.36% +1.99% +3.99% +5.63% -0.73% -0.42% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:06 $112.9 -1.01% -1.43% +0.29% +1.02% -0.04% +2.56% -1.51% -0.40% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:11 $111.66 -0.54% -1.72% -0.37% -1.22% -1.19% +0.30% -0.85% -0.26% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:25:44 $105.08 -1.10% -0.86% -0.84% -0.51% +1.63% +2.07% -1.87% -0.45% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:49 $102.5 +0.55% -1.91% -0.02% +2.35% +1.35% +2.49% -2.39% +0.78% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:37 $107.87 -2.34% -1.92% -0.29% -2.47% -6.99% +0.26% -4.51% +0.15% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:03 $124.51 +0.30% +0.10% +1.04% +0.13% +0.56% +1.56% -0.22% +0.23% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:27 $127.05 -1.50% -2.11% -2.22% -3.13% -2.57% -0.43% -1.09% -0.94% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:56 $120.0 +0.38% +0.21% +0.31% -0.12% +3.97% +4.47% -0.50% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-16 09:28:13 $119.0 -1.12% -1.38% -1.79% -0.45% -1.19% +1.57% -2.24% -0.48% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:48 $119.19 -0.86% -0.89% -0.92% -0.46% -2.68% -0.08% -2.01% -0.73% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:28:28 $116.94 -0.46% -0.52% -1.99% -1.11% -1.49% +0.65% -0.21% -0.17% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.2% Baseline on MRVL

The 50.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MRVL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MRVL Strategy →

Why Analyze MRVL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MRVL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MRVL historically offers an average upside of +2.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MRVL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.2%, MRVL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MRVL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.