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ASTI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 75 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-08 → 2023-12-21

⚠️ Small sample size (75 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc. Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 10, 2006 🔗 www.ascentsolar.com
💰 Market Cap: $34.5M 👥 Employees: 20
Ascent Solar Technologies Inc is engaged in the manufacturing, and selling of photovoltaic products (PV) solar modules that are flexible, durable, and possess attractive power-to-weight and power-to-area performance. The company is integrating its PV products into scalable and high-value markets such as agrivoltaics, aerospace, satellites, near-earth orbiting vehicles, and fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV). Ascent is also working to expand its portable solar chargers, such as the XD-12. The company markets and sells its products through OEMs, system integrators, distributors, retailers, and e-commerce companies.
📊
75
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+892362.83%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.48%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.7%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -2.18%
Best: +7.75%
Worst: -8.75%
Trades: 26/44

15MIN

Win Rate: 28.0%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +2.86%
Avg Loser: -3.02%
Best: +18.31%
Worst: -16.55%
Trades: 21/48

30MIN

Win Rate: 16.4%
Avg Gain: -2.15%
Avg Winner: +4.33%
Avg Loser: -3.60%
Best: +24.18%
Worst: -13.86%
Trades: 12/58

60MIN

Win Rate: 15.3%
Avg Gain: -3.15%
Avg Winner: +3.37%
Avg Loser: -4.71%
Best: +13.73%
Worst: -16.55%
Trades: 11/56

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +892362.83%
Avg Winner: +1338547.16%
Avg Loser: -6.08%
Best: +2199900.00%
Worst: -18.44%
Trades: 50/24

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.48%
Best MFE: +32.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, ASTI alerts reach +5.48% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.29%
Worst MAE: -10.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 75 alerts, ASTI typically reaches +5.48% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 75
Gap Up % 65.3%
Avg Gap +1.10%
Best Gap +16.51%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How ASTI compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ASTI: -0.70% Sector: -0.04% -0.66%
EOD Gain
ASTI: +899984.80% Sector: +13404.08% +886580.72%
Avg MFE
ASTI: +5.69% Sector: +2.71% +2.98%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ASTI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-21 09:29:00 $0.95 -2.72% -4.70% -3.97% - +9325.07% -0.51% -1.78% -0.51% LOSS
2023-10-26 09:27:00 $1.01 +0.49% +0.99% +0.01% - +0.99% +2.97% -1.98% +0.99% WIN
2023-10-25 09:26:00 $1.15 -2.61% -3.91% -6.09% -9.55% -5.22% +0.87% +0.87% -1.74% LOSS
2023-10-24 09:25:00 $1.53 +0.65% +18.31% +24.18% +13.73% +7743.14% +29.41% -5.23% -2.61% WIN
2023-10-12 09:26:00 $1.31 -3.05% -6.11% -6.87% -7.61% +8907.63% +2.29% +0.76% +2.29% LOSS
2023-10-03 09:27:00 $1.84 -2.78% -7.07% -7.50% -11.96% +8704.35% +1.63% -4.35% +1.63% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:27:00 $1.98 +1.01% -6.49% -5.56% -9.09% -9.60% +2.02% +1.01% +1.01% WIN
2023-09-28 09:29:00 $2.17 -3.69% -5.07% -4.61% -4.15% -5.07% +1.38% -0.92% +0.92% LOSS
2023-09-12 09:26:00 $10.69 +2.25% -0.84% -7.02% -15.15% +8506.17% +20.77% -0.28% +10.85% WIN
2023-09-11 09:29:00 $0.05 -0.19% -0.32% - -1.54% +1644687.64% +15.83% -2.51% +4.44% LOSS
2023-09-08 09:29:00 $0.06 - -2.53% -4.15% -1.99% +1844665.34% +1.81% -2.89% +1.81% -
2023-09-07 09:25:00 $0.06 -1.04% -1.04% -0.87% -4.51% -6.60% +0.26% -1.04% -1.04% LOSS
2023-09-06 09:29:00 $0.06 -3.61% -3.61% -3.28% -9.03% -4.76% +0.16% -8.05% +0.16% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:29:00 $0.06 -2.55% -2.72% -0.85% +1.87% +2105163.16% +10.69% -4.92% -0.17% LOSS
2023-09-01 09:27:00 $0.06 - -0.54% -0.72% -1.98% -0.90% +1.62% - - -
2023-08-31 09:25:00 $0.06 +0.18% +1.24% +0.18% -1.07% +1.24% +3.46% -10.30% -9.41% WIN
2023-08-30 09:26:00 $0.06 -2.54% -0.51% -3.05% -5.08% +1966001.69% +2.54% -0.17% +2.54% LOSS
2023-08-29 09:29:00 $0.06 -2.54% - -1.52% +3.05% +1925323.73% +8.64% -3.39% -3.39% LOSS
2023-08-28 09:27:00 $0.06 -3.14% -3.60% -3.13% -6.27% -10.66% -0.94% -3.60% -2.66% LOSS
2023-08-25 09:26:00 $0.06 +1.69% +0.17% - - +8.47% +17.80% - +1.69% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on ASTI

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ASTI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ASTI Strategy →

Why Analyze ASTI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASTI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASTI historically offers an average upside of +5.48% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ASTI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, ASTI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ASTI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +892362.83%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.