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AVGO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 214 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Broadcom Inc. Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 06, 2009 🔗 www.broadcom.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.52T 👥 Employees: 33,000
Broadcom is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world and has also expanded into infrastructure software. Its semiconductors primarily serve computing, wired connectivity, and wireless connectivity. It has a significant position in custom AI chips to train and run inference for large language models. It is primarily a fabless designer but holds some manufacturing in-house. In software, it sells virtualization, infrastructure, and security software to large enterprises, financial institutions, and governments. Broadcom is the product of consolidation. Its businesses are an amalgamation of former companies like legacy Broadcom and Avago Technologies in chips, as well as VMware, Brocade, CA Technologies, and Symantec in software.
📊
214
Total Alerts
🎯
46.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.87%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +3.15%
Worst: -2.46%
Trades: 94/120

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +5.30%
Worst: -4.40%
Trades: 97/116

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +6.15%
Worst: -3.82%
Trades: 99/115

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +6.24%
Worst: -4.33%
Trades: 100/114

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -18.49%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -31.98%
Best: +9.74%
Worst: -90.42%
Trades: 84/129

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.87%
Best MFE: +12.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, AVGO alerts reach +1.87% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.72%
Worst MAE: -3.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 214 alerts, AVGO typically reaches +1.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 214
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +1.73%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How AVGO compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AVGO: -0.01% Sector: -0.04% +0.04%
EOD Gain
AVGO: -18.49% Sector: +13404.08% -13422.57%
Avg MFE
AVGO: +1.87% Sector: +2.71% -0.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AVGO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:44 $234.9 -0.79% -1.95% -0.85% -0.20% -0.79% +0.36% -2.55% -0.16% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:13 $235.37 -0.01% -0.87% -1.15% -0.59% +0.18% +0.67% -0.01% +0.29% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:21 $232.4 -0.43% +0.43% +0.46% +0.88% +1.70% +1.76% -1.03% -0.88% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:28:09 $231.67 -0.55% +0.07% +0.06% +0.50% +1.45% +2.68% -0.73% +0.35% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:31 $227.47 +0.34% +1.05% +1.60% +1.76% +3.33% +3.67% -0.15% -0.02% WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:15 $233.96 +0.49% -0.19% -0.98% -1.77% -3.89% +0.77% -0.05% +0.44% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:40 $234.01 -0.88% -1.28% -0.99% -1.22% -1.13% +0.34% -1.28% +0.21% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:27:07 $232.5 -1.15% -1.29% -1.08% -1.31% -0.22% +2.34% -2.15% +0.62% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:29:04 $219.38 -0.63% -0.70% +0.01% +1.28% +1.39% +1.66% -1.86% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:09 $213.25 +0.86% +1.65% +1.32% +2.98% +2.10% +3.60% -0.02% +1.04% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:08 $220.25 -0.27% -1.52% -0.73% +0.79% +0.46% +2.97% -1.79% -0.27% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:15 $218.46 -0.05% -0.26% +0.38% +0.44% -1.28% +1.60% -1.03% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:05 $208.75 -0.71% -0.36% +0.69% -1.11% -1.15% +1.29% -1.54% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:58 $210.12 -2.19% -4.40% -2.71% -2.49% -1.31% +0.14% -0.27% -1.00% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:15 $212.5 +2.04% +1.39% +1.65% -0.39% -4.88% +2.79% -1.45% +0.42% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:52 $244.3 -0.27% +0.13% +1.83% +1.15% +0.16% +2.17% -0.53% +0.16% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:02 $238.5 -0.74% - -0.15% -0.41% +0.75% +0.80% -1.00% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:44 $247.22 -0.77% -1.12% -1.12% -2.12% -2.55% -0.06% -0.28% -0.19% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:09 $242.24 -1.02% -1.77% -0.95% -0.91% -0.80% +0.21% -2.00% -0.31% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:51 $235.04 +0.10% -0.14% -0.56% -0.89% +1.02% +1.30% -1.01% +0.87% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 46.7% Baseline on AVGO

The 46.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AVGO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AVGO Strategy →

Why Analyze AVGO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVGO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVGO historically offers an average upside of +1.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AVGO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.7%, AVGO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AVGO performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.