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AXTI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-05 → 2024-05-03

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 21, 1998 🔗 www.axt.com
💰 Market Cap: $943.2M 👥 Employees: 1,075
AXT Inc is a developer and producer of compound and single element semiconductor substrates, also known as wafers. The dominant substrates used in producing semiconductor chips and other electronic circuits are made from silicon. It is engaged in the design, development, manufacture, and distribution of high-performance compound semiconductor substrates and the sale of materials. The company provides alternative or specialty materials in the form of substrates or wafers, including compound and single-element substrates. Its compound substrates combine indium with phosphorous or gallium with arsenic. Geographically firm has its business presence across the region of Europe, Japan, Taiwan, China, North America, and the Asia Pacific from which China derives its maximum revenue to the company.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+3.58%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+13.88%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.80%
Avg Loser: -3.06%
Best: +6.61%
Worst: -5.66%
Trades: 5/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +3.58%
Avg Winner: +11.36%
Avg Loser: -8.07%
Best: +47.27%
Worst: -12.07%
Trades: 6/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.95%
Avg Winner: +12.36%
Avg Loser: -8.45%
Best: +33.54%
Worst: -13.94%
Trades: 5/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.91%
Avg Winner: +10.32%
Avg Loser: -5.36%
Best: +24.76%
Worst: -13.79%
Trades: 4/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +11.59%
Avg Loser: -12.19%
Best: +21.00%
Worst: -19.10%
Trades: 5/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.88%
Best MFE: +52.04%
Avg Time to MFE: 86 min

On average, AXTI alerts reach +13.88% profit potential within 86 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.65%
Worst MAE: -11.82%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.65%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, AXTI typically reaches +13.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.35%
Best Gap +2.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How AXTI compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AXTI: -0.13% Sector: -0.04% -0.09%
EOD Gain
AXTI: -0.30% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.38%
Avg MFE
AXTI: +13.88% Sector: +2.71% +11.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AXTI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-03 09:25:19 $3.6 -1.93% +6.94% +9.17% +0.59% +1.67% +17.50% -3.89% -3.33% LOSS
2024-04-08 09:25:20 $3.43 +2.92% +11.66% +13.41% +11.91% +4.08% +16.33% - +2.33% WIN
2024-04-05 09:28:42 $3.53 +3.12% +0.28% -5.10% -3.54% -11.90% +6.52% -1.98% +0.57% WIN
2024-04-04 09:25:16 $3.98 +0.25% -8.29% -6.16% -4.52% -19.10% +7.29% -11.18% -1.51% WIN
2024-02-28 09:26:23 $5.3 -5.66% -7.74% -6.98% -7.17% -9.06% - - -0.75% LOSS
2024-02-27 09:25:14 $4.49 -0.06% +0.89% +3.12% +4.01% +19.60% +20.94% -1.56% -0.89% LOSS
2024-02-26 09:27:14 $4.06 -2.46% -4.19% -10.10% -2.98% +11.58% +13.67% -11.82% +0.99% LOSS
2024-02-23 09:25:11 $3.19 +6.61% +47.27% +33.54% +24.76% +21.00% +52.04% -2.82% -0.94% WIN
2023-07-06 09:28:00 $2.77 +1.09% +1.08% +2.55% -0.18% -2.53% +3.97% -0.36% - WIN
2023-07-05 09:28:00 $3.48 -5.17% -12.07% -13.94% -13.79% -18.39% +0.57% -2.87% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on AXTI

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AXTI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AXTI Strategy →

Why Analyze AXTI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AXTI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AXTI historically offers an average upside of +13.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AXTI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, AXTI shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AXTI performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.58%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.