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CRDO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-15 β†’ 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Ordinary Shares SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Jan 27, 2022 πŸ”— www.credosemi.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $24.05B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 622
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd delivers high-speed solutions to break bandwidth barriers on every wired connection in the data infrastructure market. It providesΒ secure, high-speed connectivity solutions that deliver improved power and cost efficiency as data rates and corresponding bandwidth requirements increase exponentially throughout the data infrastructure market. It has a geographic presence in Hong Kong, the United States, Mainland China, Taiwan, and the Rest of the World.
πŸ“Š
20
Total Alerts
🎯
45.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
πŸ’°
-0.88%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
πŸš€
+4.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -2.53%
Best: +2.94%
Worst: -9.66%
Trades: 9/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -3.02%
Best: +3.50%
Worst: -6.20%
Trades: 8/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: -0.81%
Avg Winner: +2.92%
Avg Loser: -2.81%
Best: +4.51%
Worst: -9.27%
Trades: 7/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: -1.34%
Avg Winner: +3.49%
Avg Loser: -3.94%
Best: +6.16%
Worst: -10.87%
Trades: 7/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -1.47%
Avg Winner: +9.92%
Avg Loser: -4.31%
Best: +15.66%
Worst: -20.14%
Trades: 4/16

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.29%
Best MFE: +19.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, CRDO alerts reach +4.29% profit potential within 69 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.00%
Worst MAE: -6.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.00%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.15x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, CRDO typically reaches +4.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 35.0%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +0.78%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How CRDO compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRDO: -0.88% Sector: -0.04% -0.84%
EOD Gain
CRDO: -1.47% Sector: +13404.08% -13405.54%
Avg MFE
CRDO: +4.29% Sector: +2.71% +1.58%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRDO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:54 $63.97 +0.94% +2.74% +3.44% +6.16% +12.26% +13.44% -2.28% -0.26% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:31 $62.75 +0.94% +1.99% +3.97% +2.65% +2.95% +5.64% -0.22% +0.26% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:11 $58.94 +2.94% -0.71% +0.01% +0.44% -0.25% +3.17% +0.02% +0.78% WIN
2025-01-28 09:26:08 $59.65 -1.34% -5.84% -2.27% -0.85% -2.51% +0.80% -1.09% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:49 $69.62 -9.66% -4.27% -4.01% -8.17% -20.14% -0.46% -1.05% -1.95% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:33 $83.97 +0.62% -3.32% -5.06% -6.55% -2.92% +1.89% -0.56% -0.26% WIN
2024-12-16 09:27:17 $78.39 -0.47% - -3.65% -4.55% -1.45% +0.74% -2.30% -0.26% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:29:13 $71.97 +2.05% +2.85% +3.31% -0.38% -4.11% +4.63% -3.08% +0.19% WIN
2024-12-03 09:28:03 $64.97 +0.15% +1.82% +4.51% +5.76% +8.80% +11.28% -1.49% -0.81% WIN
2024-11-27 09:28:57 $46.8 -0.91% - -0.83% -3.31% -2.33% +0.92% -0.90% -0.04% LOSS
2024-09-05 09:28:36 $27.66 -1.66% -1.63% -3.58% -6.65% -3.65% +1.99% -6.72% -1.19% LOSS
2024-03-19 09:25:05 $20.0 -1.55% -0.30% -0.35% -0.25% -0.75% +0.45% -2.05% -0.70% LOSS
2024-02-28 09:27:08 $23.95 -5.55% -4.67% -5.01% -3.09% -7.43% -0.21% -4.51% -0.21% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $18.28 -2.35% -1.86% -0.14% -0.11% -3.50% +1.64% -4.10% +0.38% LOSS
2023-06-01 09:28:00 $14.3 +1.68% +3.50% +4.07% +5.31% +15.66% +19.90% -3.99% +0.56% WIN
2023-05-30 09:29:00 $15.0 -3.07% -6.20% -9.27% -10.87% -8.80% +0.67% -0.50% -0.50% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:26:00 $9.44 -0.11% +1.48% -0.64% +1.91% -0.85% +3.60% -0.95% +0.11% LOSS
2023-02-17 09:29:00 $10.21 -1.16% -1.42% -1.32% -3.38% -5.48% +0.20% - -0.49% LOSS
2023-02-16 09:29:00 $10.28 +0.58% +0.02% -0.47% +2.19% -0.78% +4.62% -1.17% +0.10% WIN
2023-02-15 09:26:00 $10.73 +0.23% +1.35% +1.12% -3.05% -4.01% +10.81% -2.98% -0.56% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CRDO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.0% win rate and -0.88% average gain, CRDO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CRDO for short-selling strategies.

πŸ“‰ Turn Negative Expectancy Positive β†’

Why Analyze CRDO with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRDO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRDO historically offers an average upside of +4.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š CRDO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.0%, CRDO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CRDO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CRDO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.88%). This suggests CRDO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.