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CRUS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2024-12-03

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 08, 1989 🔗 www.cirrus.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.50B 👥 Employees: 1,660
Cirrus Logic Inc is a provider of integrated circuits for audio and voice signal processing applications. The firm's products are organized into two streams: portable audio products, and HPMS Products. These products include aAmplifiers, codecs, smart codecs, analog-to-digital converters, digital-to-analog converters and standalone digital signal processors, Camera controllers, haptics and sensing solutions, and battery and power ICs. Roughly half of the firm's revenue is generated in China, with the rest coming from the United States, Europe, South Korea, and countries across the world.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.18%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +1.09%
Worst: -1.04%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -5.16%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.41%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +2.41%
Worst: -1.42%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.84%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -3.22%
Best: +0.93%
Worst: -4.94%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.52%
Best MFE: +3.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 16 min

On average, CRUS alerts reach +1.52% profit potential within 16 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -0.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.88:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.88x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, CRUS typically reaches +1.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +0.10%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How CRUS compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRUS: -0.18% Sector: -0.04% -0.14%
EOD Gain
CRUS: -1.84% Sector: +13404.08% -13405.91%
Avg MFE
CRUS: +1.52% Sector: +2.71% -1.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRUS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:25:48 $107.2 -1.04% -0.21% -0.85% -1.17% -1.49% -0.08% -0.08% -0.57% LOSS
2023-04-12 09:26:00 $88.46 +1.09% +1.90% +1.90% +2.41% +0.93% +3.70% -0.64% -0.26% WIN
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $87.25 -0.58% -5.16% -2.45% -1.42% -4.94% +0.95% -0.86% +0.10% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CRUS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.18% average gain, CRUS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CRUS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CRUS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRUS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRUS historically offers an average upside of +1.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CRUS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, CRUS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CRUS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CRUS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.18%). This suggests CRUS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.