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ENPH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 136 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-05

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 30, 2012 🔗 www.enphase.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.16B 👥 Employees: 2,781
Enphase Energy is a global energy technology company. It delivers smart, easy-to-use solutions that manage solar generation, storage, and communication on one platform. The company's microinverter technology primarily serves the rooftop solar market and produces a fully integrated solar-plus-storage solution. Enphase derives a majority of revenue from the United States.
📊
136
Total Alerts
🎯
54.5%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.24%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +6.82%
Worst: -6.53%
Trades: 69/63

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.79%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: +5.91%
Worst: -8.30%
Trades: 66/68

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.7%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -2.10%
Best: +7.63%
Worst: -8.73%
Trades: 72/62

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +10.14%
Worst: -11.36%
Trades: 73/61

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: +0.43%
Avg Winner: +3.23%
Avg Loser: -2.63%
Best: +24.85%
Worst: -11.20%
Trades: 71/65

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.35%
Best MFE: +25.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, ENPH alerts reach +3.35% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.26%
Worst MAE: -8.85%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.67:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.67x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 136 alerts, ENPH typically reaches +3.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 136
Gap Up % 48.5%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +2.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How ENPH compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ENPH: +0.17% Sector: -0.04% +0.21%
EOD Gain
ENPH: +0.46% Sector: +13404.08% -13403.62%
Avg MFE
ENPH: +3.36% Sector: +2.71% +0.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ENPH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:27:36 $69.39 -6.53% -5.68% -1.83% -2.84% -5.94% +0.01% -2.61% -1.28% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:27:38 $59.93 -0.68% +0.84% -0.01% +0.25% +0.77% +1.89% -1.12% +0.12% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:27:53 $70.28 -3.00% -2.72% -3.69% -3.47% -4.81% +0.30% -0.66% +0.01% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:29:47 $74.0 - +0.61% -1.35% -0.32% -3.26% +2.55% -1.15% -0.09% -
2024-11-06 09:28:54 $76.99 -1.79% -5.54% -4.34% -2.01% -2.83% +1.05% -0.56% +0.25% LOSS
2024-10-24 09:25:24 $80.5 -1.43% -1.07% +0.09% +0.56% +0.75% +3.18% -1.81% -1.12% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:26:03 $76.76 +2.66% +3.46% +4.73% +2.24% +2.23% +5.88% -0.99% +0.12% WIN
2024-09-11 09:27:23 $109.01 -0.42% -0.53% -0.22% -0.72% +1.45% +2.06% -1.94% -0.73% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:25:19 $97.96 +0.55% +0.86% +2.84% +4.47% +5.54% +10.72% -1.20% +1.99% WIN
2024-07-24 09:29:23 $109.25 +1.07% +0.23% +1.19% +4.16% +7.01% +10.00% -1.55% +0.01% WIN
2024-07-22 09:29:07 $109.37 -2.33% -2.96% -5.65% -4.00% -4.23% -0.07% -1.08% -0.21% LOSS
2024-07-15 09:25:26 $114.07 +0.90% -1.22% -2.17% -1.02% -0.89% +1.58% -0.06% +0.52% WIN
2024-07-11 09:29:42 $112.13 +1.37% +0.79% +2.05% +1.75% -0.40% +2.82% -1.72% -0.44% WIN
2024-06-20 09:25:19 $111.17 +0.23% -0.91% -0.88% -0.67% -2.34% +1.65% -1.08% -0.22% WIN
2024-06-12 09:27:01 $139.41 +0.57% +0.42% +0.72% -1.53% -3.51% +1.59% -0.75% +0.14% WIN
2024-05-03 09:25:46 $110.45 +2.40% +5.91% +5.11% +3.44% +3.40% +6.17% -0.05% +0.06% WIN
2024-04-26 09:27:19 $110.74 +0.48% +2.98% +1.39% +2.13% +1.07% +4.27% -1.07% +0.56% WIN
2024-04-24 09:28:06 $112.22 -1.63% -1.70% +3.10% +0.95% -4.50% +5.36% -3.64% +0.34% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:25:39 $121.82 +2.12% -0.61% -2.06% -3.00% -0.10% +2.45% -1.07% +0.31% WIN
2024-04-10 09:29:52 $115.94 +0.26% -1.78% -1.61% +0.78% +3.16% +3.53% -2.54% +0.19% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.5% Baseline on ENPH

The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ENPH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ENPH Strategy →

Why Analyze ENPH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ENPH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ENPH historically offers an average upside of +3.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ENPH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, ENPH shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ENPH performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.24%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.