FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

FSLR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 44 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-02 → 2024-11-06

⚠️ Small sample size (44 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 17, 2006 🔗 www.firstsolar.com
💰 Market Cap: $25.98B 👥 Employees: 8,100
First Solar designs and manufactures solar photovoltaic panels, modules, and systems for use in utility-scale development projects. The company's solar modules use cadmium telluride to convert sunlight into electricity. This is commonly called thin-film technology. First Solar is the world's largest thin-film solar module manufacturer. It has production lines in Vietnam, Malaysia, the United States, and India.
📊
44
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.22%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.28%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +3.70%
Worst: -8.25%
Trades: 21/23

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +6.19%
Worst: -10.17%
Trades: 22/22

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +9.21%
Worst: -10.27%
Trades: 22/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.39%
Avg Loser: -2.36%
Best: +10.47%
Worst: -9.67%
Trades: 22/22

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: +0.47%
Avg Winner: +3.77%
Avg Loser: -2.54%
Best: +14.23%
Worst: -6.73%
Trades: 21/23

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.28%
Best MFE: +14.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, FSLR alerts reach +3.28% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.20%
Worst MAE: -7.79%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.73:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.73x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 44 alerts, FSLR typically reaches +3.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 44
Gap Up % 52.3%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +1.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How FSLR compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FSLR: -0.11% Sector: -0.04% -0.07%
EOD Gain
FSLR: +0.47% Sector: +13404.08% -13403.61%
Avg MFE
FSLR: +3.28% Sector: +2.71% +0.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FSLR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-06 09:29:05 $188.01 -2.93% -5.21% -3.53% -0.56% +3.20% +5.31% -7.79% +0.28% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:27:27 $188.2 -0.20% -1.40% +2.14% +4.24% +4.94% +6.97% -2.40% -0.30% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:29:44 $206.52 -1.13% -1.44% -1.81% -1.21% -3.32% +0.14% -0.37% -0.05% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:28:11 $202.0 -0.10% +0.25% -0.53% +0.08% -0.30% +1.29% -1.18% -0.25% LOSS
2024-07-15 09:25:40 $222.0 -3.60% -3.08% -3.71% -2.14% -3.86% +0.04% +0.04% -0.80% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:26:36 $177.69 +2.36% +1.11% +2.46% +3.05% +4.28% +4.60% -0.01% +0.81% WIN
2024-02-29 09:26:18 $151.9 +1.44% +2.19% +1.37% +0.15% +1.31% +3.51% -0.59% -0.03% WIN
2024-02-28 09:25:49 $153.22 -0.46% -0.28% +1.89% -1.15% -2.59% +3.20% -1.59% +0.48% LOSS
2023-12-15 09:25:00 $163.0 +1.14% -1.01% -0.82% +0.78% +3.48% +3.81% -1.78% +0.89% WIN
2023-12-14 09:28:00 $151.59 +3.21% +6.19% +7.70% +4.17% +4.39% +8.29% -0.18% +0.07% WIN
2023-12-12 09:28:00 $146.0 -2.74% -4.45% -3.91% -4.87% -4.18% +0.26% -0.84% -0.18% LOSS
2023-12-08 09:27:00 $149.95 -0.24% +1.20% -1.39% -0.13% -3.05% +2.19% -0.53% +0.69% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:25:00 $149.4 -0.09% -3.19% -3.05% -5.99% -4.39% +1.92% -0.90% -0.61% LOSS
2023-10-20 09:25:00 $146.97 +1.35% +2.89% +3.79% +2.10% +2.59% +4.93% -0.18% +0.82% WIN
2023-10-09 09:26:00 $146.5 -0.84% -0.65% -0.96% -1.71% -1.84% +0.45% -1.91% -0.82% LOSS
2023-09-12 09:26:00 $177.88 +0.43% +1.44% +1.90% +2.74% +1.72% +2.91% -0.12% +0.07% WIN
2023-08-30 09:29:00 $181.3 +1.00% +0.22% +0.33% +0.65% +2.02% +3.09% -0.13% -0.13% WIN
2023-07-28 09:28:00 $223.43 -8.25% -10.17% -10.27% -9.67% -6.73% +0.48% -3.62% +0.07% LOSS
2023-05-23 09:26:00 $198.75 +0.24% -0.01% - +0.37% +1.08% +2.07% -0.61% +0.25% WIN
2023-05-15 09:29:00 $227.49 -0.08% -1.16% -0.39% -1.07% -2.59% +0.95% -0.61% +0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ FSLR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.22% average gain, FSLR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider FSLR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze FSLR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FSLR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FSLR historically offers an average upside of +3.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FSLR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, FSLR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests FSLR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FSLR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.22%). This suggests FSLR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.