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IPGP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-13 → 2023-03-13

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 13, 2006 🔗 www.ipgphotonics.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.64B 👥 Employees: 4,740
IPG Photonics Corp is a vertically integrated developer and manufacturer of high-performance fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers, and diode lasers, which are used in diverse applications in the manufacturing, automotive, industrial, aerospace, semiconductor, and consumer end markets. The company operates in one segment which involves the design, development, production and distribution of fiber lasers, laser and non-laser systems, fiber amplifiers, and related optical components. A large majority of the firm's revenue is derived from materials processing applications for fiber lasers, including cutting and welding, marking and engraving, and micro-processing. The company generates a majority of its revenue from North America and also has its presence in China, Japan, Germany, and other markets.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.70%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.20%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.70%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: -1.70%
Worst: -1.70%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.12%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: -1.12%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: -1.17%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.16%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: -1.16%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.20%
Best MFE: +0.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, IPGP alerts reach +0.20% profit potential within 160 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.04%
Worst MAE: -2.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 56 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.1:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, IPGP typically reaches +0.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.30%
Best Gap -1.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How IPGP compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IPGP: +0.00% Sector: -0.04% +0.04%
EOD Gain
IPGP: +0.00% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.08%
Avg MFE
IPGP: +0.00% Sector: +2.71% -2.71%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IPGP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-13 09:29:00 $118.13 -1.70% -1.12% -1.17% - -1.16% +0.20% -2.04% -1.30% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ IPGP Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.70% average gain, IPGP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider IPGP for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze IPGP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IPGP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IPGP historically offers an average upside of +0.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IPGP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, IPGP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests IPGP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IPGP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.70%). This suggests IPGP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.