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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MCHP

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.9% at 5-min n=53 2022-01-20 → 2026-09-30

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 53 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 26, 1993 🔗 www.microchip.com
💰 Market Cap: $44.25B 👥 Employees: 17,900
Microchip Technology became an independent company in 1989 when it was spun off from General Instrument. More than half of revenue comes from MCUs, which are used in a wide array of electronic devices from remote controls to garage door openers to power windows in autos. The company's strength lies in lower-end 8-bit MCUs that are suitable for a wider range of less technologically advanced devices, but the firm has expanded its presence in higher-end MCUs and analog chips as well.
Total alerts
53
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
51.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.11%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.07%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MCHP on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +2.69%
Worst: -1.66%
Trades: 27/25

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +3.00%
Worst: -2.63%
Trades: 26/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +2.88%
Worst: -3.33%
Trades: 23/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.5%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +3.83%
Worst: -5.37%
Trades: 19/33

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +6.68%
Worst: -6.75%
Trades: 27/26

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.07%
Best MFE: +7.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, MCHP alerts reach +2.07% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.81%
Worst MAE: -3.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 53 alerts, MCHP typically reaches +2.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 53
Gap Up % 56.6%
Avg Gap +0.06%
Best Gap +1.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How MCHP compares to 89 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MCHP: +0.11% Sector: -0.09% +0.20%
EOD Gain
MCHP: -0.34% Sector: +6761.07% -6761.42%
Avg MFE
MCHP: +2.03% Sector: +3.47% -1.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MCHP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $78.81 +0.62% +0.60% +0.25% -0.50% -1.32% +1.07% +0.04% +0.33% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $78.92 +0.16% +0.65% +0.71% +1.67% -0.18% +1.84% -0.57% +0.46% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $70.62 +1.59% +1.18% +1.40% +1.71% +3.75% +3.94% +0.62% +1.23% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $72.83 -0.34% -0.95% -0.59% -1.18% -4.45% +0.11% -0.60% -0.32% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $75.75 -1.00% -1.03% -1.77% -3.06% -2.97% -0.32% -0.57% -0.57% LOSS
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $81.23 +1.48% +2.64% +2.06% +2.99% +4.26% +5.83% -0.90% +0.15% WIN
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $80.0 -0.57% -0.85% +0.33% -1.59% -2.76% +0.49% -1.14% +0.12% LOSS
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $88.98 -1.25% -0.44% -1.51% -2.39% -2.10% -0.37% -1.75% -1.11% LOSS
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $88.11 +0.66% +0.96% +1.22% +0.73% +0.17% +3.11% -0.52% +0.43% WIN
2026-07-07 09:25:00 $84.14 +0.49% -1.05% -1.96% -2.27% +0.01% +1.54% -3.02% -0.21% WIN
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $97.43 +0.16% -1.37% -0.74% -0.95% -4.28% +0.98% -0.90% -0.35% WIN
2026-06-02 09:25:00 $97.16 -1.01% +0.50% -1.91% -1.89% -0.21% +2.20% -2.22% -0.42% LOSS
2026-05-27 09:25:00 $100.42 -1.09% -2.63% -3.33% -5.37% -3.56% +1.07% +0.57% -1.04% LOSS
2026-05-12 09:25:00 $96.88 +0.38% +0.89% -0.76% -0.33% +0.85% +1.31% -0.41% +0.19% WIN
2026-04-23 09:25:00 $86.07 +0.54% +3.00% +2.07% +2.61% +5.31% +7.17% -1.13% -0.34% WIN
2026-04-09 09:25:00 $70.18 +0.85% +0.31% -0.09% -0.48% +1.48% +1.95% -0.93% +0.46% WIN
2026-03-30 09:25:00 $62.23 +0.58% -0.37% -1.25% -1.43% -3.49% +1.14% -0.06% +0.29% WIN
2026-03-04 09:25:00 $72.58 -0.09% -1.36% -1.98% -1.80% -3.69% +0.17% -0.32% -0.08% LOSS
2026-02-27 09:25:00 $73.69 +0.69% -1.01% -1.75% -0.26% +1.29% +1.42% -1.86% -0.58% WIN
2026-02-25 09:25:00 $76.33 +1.00% +0.61% -0.50% -0.54% -1.13% +1.56% +0.00% +0.95% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 51.9% Baseline on MCHP

The 51.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MCHP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MCHP Strategy →

Why Analyze MCHP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MCHP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MCHP historically offers an average upside of +2.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MCHP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, MCHP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MCHP performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.