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NVTS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 47 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-13 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (47 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 25, 2021 🔗 www.navitassemi.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.34B 👥 Employees: 280
Navitas Semiconductor Corp develops ultra-efficient gallium nitride (GaN) semiconductors that are revolutionizing power electronics. GaN power ICs integrate GaN power with drive, control, and protection to enable fast charging, high power density, and energy savings for mobile, consumer, enterprise, eMobility, and new energy markets. The company operates as one reportable segment, the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of integrated circuits and related components for use in mobile device and other markets. Geographically, the company operates in China, Europe, United States, Rest of Asia and Others. The majority of revenue is generated from China.
📊
47
Total Alerts
🎯
44.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-1.59%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.3%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +2.39%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +6.88%
Worst: -10.40%
Trades: 18/29

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +3.79%
Avg Loser: -3.92%
Best: +9.08%
Worst: -17.65%
Trades: 19/27

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.0%
Avg Gain: -1.53%
Avg Winner: +3.13%
Avg Loser: -3.93%
Best: +8.75%
Worst: -18.47%
Trades: 16/31

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -1.59%
Avg Winner: +3.28%
Avg Loser: -5.53%
Best: +13.50%
Worst: -18.81%
Trades: 21/26

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -1.53%
Avg Winner: +4.72%
Avg Loser: -6.57%
Best: +12.81%
Worst: -22.57%
Trades: 21/26

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.84%
Best MFE: +17.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 75 min

On average, NVTS alerts reach +4.84% profit potential within 75 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.46%
Worst MAE: -8.03%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.97:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 47 alerts, NVTS typically reaches +4.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 47
Gap Up % 31.9%
Avg Gap -0.43%
Best Gap +1.88%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How NVTS compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NVTS: -0.72% Sector: -0.04% -0.67%
EOD Gain
NVTS: -1.53% Sector: +13404.08% -13405.61%
Avg MFE
NVTS: +4.84% Sector: +2.71% +2.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVTS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:28:08 $2.86 +1.05% -0.27% +0.35% +2.45% +1.40% +5.07% -2.10% -1.05% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:29 $3.32 -3.16% -0.15% -0.97% -1.05% -9.94% +1.51% -3.59% -1.51% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:26:03 $3.2 +6.88% +9.08% +8.75% +13.50% +10.00% +15.00% -0.31% +1.88% WIN
2025-01-14 09:26:06 $3.13 +1.92% +3.10% -2.08% -0.64% -1.28% +3.51% -1.28% -0.32% WIN
2025-01-08 09:29:13 $3.8 -2.63% -6.72% -8.42% -10.92% -9.74% - -2.37% -0.53% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:27 $4.35 -1.84% -3.86% -3.91% -6.09% -10.11% -0.69% -3.22% -1.84% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:55 $4.14 -0.48% +4.54% +2.66% +1.93% +2.66% +9.90% -1.84% -0.97% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:25:47 $3.82 +3.14% -0.39% -1.57% -1.18% +2.09% +3.93% -0.52% +0.79% WIN
2024-12-27 09:25:11 $4.12 +0.20% -4.13% -2.38% -6.19% -2.18% +1.21% -1.82% +0.49% WIN
2024-12-26 09:28:09 $3.93 -2.16% +1.40% +1.65% -1.19% +4.83% +5.09% -3.82% +0.25% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:26:10 $4.23 -10.40% -8.63% -6.81% -3.19% -5.91% +0.24% -2.13% -2.60% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:28:41 $2.81 -0.89% +2.28% +5.34% +7.30% +12.81% +17.08% -2.49% -1.42% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:29:49 $3.35 -3.73% -5.41% -6.81% -12.05% -16.12% +2.69% -1.49% -0.90% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:25:53 $3.27 +0.15% +2.44% -0.46% -2.80% -0.31% +4.28% -1.22% -0.61% WIN
2024-12-16 09:25:14 $3.47 -4.18% -5.80% -5.62% -4.18% -6.63% -0.29% -0.86% -2.02% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:29:46 $3.75 -7.47% -4.67% -8.00% -6.67% -8.27% +0.80% -2.13% - LOSS
2024-12-12 09:27:27 $3.91 +2.14% +3.58% -1.26% -0.00% -7.93% +5.88% -6.39% -1.28% WIN
2024-12-11 09:26:23 $4.5 -2.67% -2.35% -0.67% -7.11% -9.33% +0.67% -5.33% -1.11% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:27:26 $4.47 -4.03% -5.26% -5.15% -8.17% -2.68% +1.79% -1.11% +0.67% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:33 $4.11 -4.87% -4.87% +1.46% +6.34% +5.35% +13.27% -8.03% -0.24% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NVTS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.7% win rate and -1.59% average gain, NVTS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NVTS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NVTS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVTS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVTS historically offers an average upside of +4.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NVTS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.7%, NVTS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NVTS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NVTS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -1.59%). This suggests NVTS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.