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NXPI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2024-12-12

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 06, 2010 🔗 www.nxp.com
💰 Market Cap: $58.51B 👥 Employees: 33,100
NXP Semiconductors is a leading supplier of high-performance mixed-signal products. The firm acquired Freescale Semiconductor in 2015 and now has significant market share in the automotive market, where it supplies microcontrollers and analog chips into automotive clusters, powertrains, infotainment systems, and radars. NXP Semiconductors also serves industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communications infrastructure.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.27%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +3.17%
Worst: -1.53%
Trades: 7/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +3.47%
Worst: -3.06%
Trades: 8/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: -1.33%
Best: +5.31%
Worst: -3.40%
Trades: 10/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +4.30%
Worst: -3.46%
Trades: 9/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.66%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +3.80%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 8/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.77%
Best MFE: +6.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, NXPI alerts reach +1.77% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.87%
Worst MAE: -3.18%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.87%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, NXPI typically reaches +1.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +1.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How NXPI compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NXPI: +0.09% Sector: -0.04% +0.13%
EOD Gain
NXPI: +0.24% Sector: +13404.08% -13403.84%
Avg MFE
NXPI: +1.77% Sector: +2.71% -0.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NXPI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-12 09:29:48 $217.5 -0.38% +0.75% +0.45% -0.01% +0.11% +0.97% -0.95% +0.50% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:28:39 $220.8 -0.20% +1.08% +0.99% +0.76% +1.74% +1.83% -1.75% -0.14% LOSS
2024-07-23 09:26:18 $263.69 -0.86% -0.04% -0.22% -2.27% -0.53% +2.25% -1.31% -1.10% LOSS
2024-06-26 09:26:22 $268.22 +0.53% +0.31% +0.86% +0.12% -0.02% +0.98% +0.24% +0.29% WIN
2024-04-30 09:25:34 $257.03 -0.41% +1.19% +1.01% +0.10% -0.33% +1.60% -1.00% +0.27% LOSS
2023-11-07 09:26:00 $179.0 +3.17% +3.47% +5.31% +4.30% +3.80% +6.98% -0.56% -0.42% WIN
2023-07-25 09:29:00 $218.75 -0.48% -0.40% +0.14% +0.57% +0.52% +1.56% -1.04% +0.11% LOSS
2023-05-02 09:25:00 $175.83 -0.47% -1.27% -1.77% -3.46% -2.46% +0.60% -1.81% -1.42% LOSS
2023-01-31 09:25:00 $180.0 -0.03% +0.95% +0.37% +1.31% +2.39% +2.86% -1.11% +1.33% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $175.83 -0.63% -0.96% -0.96% +0.10% -0.58% +0.47% -1.31% -0.35% LOSS
2022-09-12 09:25:00 $168.58 +0.19% -0.15% +0.10% +0.53% +0.29% +0.78% -0.70% +0.58% WIN
2022-07-26 09:25:00 $179.0 -1.53% -2.00% -1.05% -2.11% -2.54% +0.53% -3.18% -0.86% LOSS
2022-06-24 09:25:00 $153.51 +1.65% +2.02% +3.11% +4.12% +3.78% +4.59% +1.28% +1.62% WIN
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $189.44 +0.17% -0.06% -0.56% -1.23% -2.50% +0.25% -0.40% -0.01% WIN
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $209.09 +0.66% +0.75% +0.02% -1.00% +0.60% +1.31% +0.07% +0.26% WIN
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $209.29 +0.03% -3.06% -3.40% -2.60% -0.52% +0.81% -0.38% -0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on NXPI

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NXPI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NXPI Strategy →

Why Analyze NXPI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NXPI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NXPI historically offers an average upside of +1.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NXPI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, NXPI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NXPI performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.