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Latest signal:

ON Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 88 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (88 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 28, 2000 🔗 www.onsemi.com
💰 Market Cap: $24.94B 👥 Employees: 26,490
Onsemi is a supplier of power semiconductors and sensors focused on the automotive and industrial markets. Onsemi is the second-largest power chipmaker in the world and the largest supplier of image sensors to the automotive market. While the firm used to be highly vertically integrated, it now pursues a hybrid manufacturing strategy for flexible capacity. Onsemi is pivoting to focus on emerging applications like electric vehicles, autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, and renewable energy.
📊
88
Total Alerts
🎯
52.3%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.55%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +2.89%
Worst: -4.73%
Trades: 45/43

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +5.25%
Worst: -2.89%
Trades: 43/44

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +6.55%
Worst: -4.01%
Trades: 42/46

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.74%
Avg Loser: -1.73%
Best: +7.98%
Worst: -6.64%
Trades: 46/42

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.79%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +11.18%
Worst: -10.57%
Trades: 42/46

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.55%
Best MFE: +11.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, ON alerts reach +2.55% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.01%
Worst MAE: -4.85%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.53:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.53x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 88 alerts, ON typically reaches +2.55% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 88
Gap Up % 36.4%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +1.64%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How ON compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ON: +0.01% Sector: -0.04% +0.05%
EOD Gain
ON: +0.05% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.03%
Avg MFE
ON: +2.55% Sector: +2.71% -0.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ON alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:27:54 $49.8 +1.16% +0.52% +0.48% +1.06% +2.25% +2.35% -0.20% +0.52% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:45 $46.99 +2.89% +2.43% +3.25% +2.77% +2.00% +4.17% -0.43% -0.04% WIN
2025-02-10 09:28:07 $51.1 -4.73% -2.72% -4.01% -6.48% -7.95% -0.18% -1.59% -0.31% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:04 $50.81 +0.17% -0.98% -1.54% +0.51% -1.08% +1.28% -1.99% -0.31% WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:32 $55.27 +0.38% +0.04% -0.72% +0.22% -2.41% +1.83% -0.69% -0.69% WIN
2025-01-10 09:28:29 $56.37 -0.02% -0.23% -1.47% -3.00% -4.31% +0.41% -1.21% +0.01% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:27:40 $64.0 +0.02% -0.03% -0.91% -0.05% -1.48% +0.41% -1.17% -0.33% WIN
2024-12-20 09:26:46 $64.34 -0.47% +1.10% +0.81% +1.59% +1.80% +3.92% -0.62% -0.19% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:28:11 $72.73 +0.39% +0.19% -0.62% -0.43% -4.01% +0.63% -0.80% -0.43% WIN
2024-11-12 09:27:22 $70.54 -1.49% -0.75% -0.26% +0.96% -0.44% +1.08% -1.91% -0.91% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:26:31 $72.3 +0.77% +0.07% -0.61% +0.90% -0.04% +1.38% -1.30% +0.28% WIN
2024-10-28 09:28:15 $67.65 +2.83% +5.25% +6.55% +7.98% +6.78% +11.16% -1.52% -0.52% WIN
2024-10-23 09:28:52 $69.5 -1.05% -0.73% -1.25% -1.47% -2.20% +0.26% -1.77% -0.20% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:21 $66.84 +1.84% +2.01% +4.43% +4.22% +3.19% +7.60% -0.49% +0.01% WIN
2024-07-29 09:28:20 $76.09 +1.24% +2.96% +3.37% +3.81% +2.87% +5.24% -0.78% -0.25% WIN
2024-07-11 09:26:59 $75.16 +0.95% +1.14% +1.46% +2.22% -1.22% +2.43% -0.04% +0.97% WIN
2024-04-29 09:25:28 $68.28 -0.52% +1.85% +0.35% +2.37% +3.72% +4.63% -1.14% -0.41% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:25:51 $65.5 +1.28% +1.22% +0.21% +2.21% +1.34% +2.78% -0.64% +0.08% WIN
2024-04-24 09:28:16 $67.4 -2.33% -1.82% -2.42% -2.18% -2.77% +0.18% - -0.34% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:29:59 $61.17 +1.71% +1.97% +2.08% +1.36% -0.75% +2.19% -0.93% -0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 52.3% Baseline on ON

The 52.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ON's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ON Strategy →

Why Analyze ON with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ON. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ON historically offers an average upside of +2.55% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ON Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.3%, ON shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ON performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.