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RMBS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2023-08-01

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 14, 1997 🔗 www.rambus.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.41B 👥 Employees: 712
Rambus Inc is a semiconductor solutions provider offering high-speed, high-security computer chips and Silicon intellectual property. The company's key products include memory interface chips, built for high speed and efficiency; silicon IP, providing high-speed memory and chip-to-chip connection technology; and architecture licenses, which allow customers to use portions of Rambus' patented inventions for their own digital electronics. The firm receives the majority of its revenue from the United States, Taiwan, Asia, Japan, and Singapore.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.74%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -3.06%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -4.18%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -9.29%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -2.39%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -3.38%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -7.03%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.56%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +1.69%
Worst: -4.77%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -2.65%
Best: +1.94%
Worst: -2.90%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +3.16%
Worst: -5.36%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.45%
Best MFE: +3.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 212 min

On average, RMBS alerts reach +1.45% profit potential within 212 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.65%
Worst MAE: -11.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 104 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.65%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.31:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, RMBS typically reaches +1.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.82%
Best Gap -0.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How RMBS compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RMBS: -3.06% Sector: -0.04% -3.02%
EOD Gain
RMBS: -0.07% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.15%
Avg MFE
RMBS: +1.45% Sector: +2.71% -1.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RMBS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-01 09:25:00 $55.12 -9.29% -7.03% -4.77% +0.41% -0.45% +1.16% -11.99% -4.66% LOSS
2023-02-07 09:27:00 $41.19 -1.24% -0.81% -0.78% -2.90% +3.16% +3.47% -3.86% -0.95% LOSS
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $28.34 +0.32% +0.56% +1.69% +1.94% +2.36% +2.43% -0.60% -0.42% WIN
2022-01-18 09:25:00 $27.96 -2.02% -2.29% -2.36% -2.40% -5.36% -1.26% -2.15% -1.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RMBS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.74% average gain, RMBS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RMBS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RMBS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RMBS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RMBS historically offers an average upside of +1.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RMBS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, RMBS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RMBS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RMBS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.74%). This suggests RMBS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.