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Latest signal:

SHLS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-06 → 2025-01-15

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 27, 2021 🔗 www.shoals.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.54B 👥 Employees: 1,290
Shoals Technologies Group is a provider of electrical balance of system solutions for solar energy projects, primarily in the United States. EBOS encompasses components that are necessary to carry electric current produced by solar panels to an inverter. The products are sold principally to engineering, procurement, and construction firms that build solar energy projects.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
58.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.95%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -1.96%
Best: +5.11%
Worst: -5.32%
Trades: 6/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.86%
Avg Winner: +3.05%
Avg Loser: -3.89%
Best: +7.24%
Worst: -10.00%
Trades: 7/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +2.96%
Avg Loser: -3.80%
Best: +6.54%
Worst: -8.38%
Trades: 6/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.19%
Avg Winner: +3.62%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +6.10%
Worst: -7.42%
Trades: 4/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 58.8%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +3.24%
Avg Loser: -6.94%
Best: +7.78%
Worst: -10.75%
Trades: 10/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.89%
Best MFE: +14.38%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, SHLS alerts reach +4.89% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.30%
Worst MAE: -8.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 39 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, SHLS typically reaches +4.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 47.1%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +4.68%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How SHLS compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SHLS: -0.39% Sector: -0.04% -0.35%
EOD Gain
SHLS: -1.21% Sector: +13404.08% -13405.29%
Avg MFE
SHLS: +4.94% Sector: +2.71% +2.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SHLS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-15 09:29:39 $5.0 -0.40% -10.00% -8.30% -6.24% -9.20% +2.60% -0.80% +0.20% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:28:38 $5.74 -0.44% -0.52% -1.57% -1.57% +5.40% +5.75% -2.44% -1.57% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:28:23 $5.04 +1.19% -1.19% -1.98% -1.49% +0.60% +5.16% -3.47% +0.40% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:54 $5.55 -3.15% -6.49% -8.38% -4.77% +3.96% +6.30% -8.92% -0.36% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:29:43 $5.32 -1.50% -0.37% +0.56% -0.19% -5.08% +2.07% -0.56% +0.19% LOSS
2024-09-03 09:28:26 $6.96 -5.32% -5.96% -5.53% -6.61% -10.49% +0.57% -3.59% -0.29% LOSS
2024-08-07 09:29:49 $5.77 +5.11% -0.26% -0.52% -0.69% -10.75% +14.38% +2.60% +4.68% WIN
2024-07-02 09:27:42 $5.66 +3.71% +7.24% +6.54% +6.10% +6.01% +9.89% -0.18% +1.06% WIN
2024-06-11 09:28:25 $7.5 - +1.47% - -0.29% -0.67% +3.53% -1.20% - -
2024-02-29 09:25:26 $13.5 -5.15% +0.07% -0.78% -1.26% -4.96% +2.37% -5.56% -2.96% LOSS
2024-02-02 00:00:00 $13.86 - - - - +3.17% +4.04% -2.45% -0.65% -
2023-10-20 09:27:00 $14.69 +0.34% +4.90% +3.23% +2.38% +3.00% +5.45% -0.27% +1.16% WIN
2023-05-09 09:26:00 $23.64 -0.47% -7.32% -2.67% -0.97% +1.99% +4.10% -7.74% +1.10% LOSS
2023-03-08 09:29:00 $24.25 +0.37% +0.85% +1.20% +1.11% +0.08% +3.05% -0.58% +0.41% WIN
2022-12-02 09:25:00 $23.0 -0.22% +3.52% +5.35% +4.87% +7.78% +9.35% -0.83% -0.22% LOSS
2022-12-01 09:25:00 $25.18 -1.04% -2.92% -4.45% -7.42% -7.47% -0.32% -0.91% -1.50% LOSS
2022-06-06 09:25:00 $18.58 +0.70% +3.29% +0.89% -2.02% +0.43% +4.84% -2.21% -0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SHLS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 58.8% win rate, SHLS has -0.95% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SHLS profitable.

🔧 Fix SHLS Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SHLS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SHLS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SHLS historically offers an average upside of +4.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SHLS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.8%, SHLS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-6.94%) outweigh average wins (+3.24%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SHLS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.95%). This suggests SHLS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.