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SKYT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-15 → 2024-12-19

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

SkyWater Technology, Inc. Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 21, 2021 🔗 www.skywatertechnology.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.52B 👥 Employees: 702
SkyWater Technology Inc is a U.S.-based, independent, pure-play technology foundry that offers semiconductor development and manufacturing services from its fabrication facilities. In its technology as a service model, it leverages a foundation of proprietary technology, engineering to co-develop process technology intellectual property (IP) with its customers that enable disruptive concepts through its Technology Services for diverse microelectronics (integrated circuits) and related micro- and nanotechnology applications. It focuses on serving diversified, high-growth, end users in numerous vertical markets, including computation, aerospace and defense (A&D), automotive and transportation, bio-health, and industrial.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+5.85%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+15.91%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +4.15%
Avg Loser: -3.19%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: -6.05%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +5.85%
Avg Winner: +11.74%
Avg Loser: -5.93%
Best: +16.34%
Worst: -5.93%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +4.47%
Avg Winner: +13.01%
Avg Loser: -12.62%
Best: +19.44%
Worst: -12.62%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +6.88%
Avg Winner: +20.70%
Avg Loser: -20.74%
Best: +31.83%
Worst: -20.74%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -3.63%
Avg Winner: +7.69%
Avg Loser: -26.26%
Best: +10.99%
Worst: -26.26%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.91%
Best MFE: +33.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 52 min

On average, SKYT alerts reach +15.91% profit potential within 52 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.07%
Worst MAE: -1.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.07%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

14.83:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 14.83x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, SKYT typically reaches +15.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.08%
Best Gap -0.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How SKYT compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SKYT: -0.74% Sector: -0.04% -0.70%
EOD Gain
SKYT: -3.63% Sector: +13404.08% -13407.70%
Avg MFE
SKYT: +15.91% Sector: +2.71% +13.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SKYT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-19 09:28:44 $16.87 -6.05% -5.93% -12.62% -20.74% -26.26% -0.30% -0.71% -0.83% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:26:19 $14.2 +4.15% +16.34% +19.44% +31.83% +10.99% +33.80% -1.41% -1.41% WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $9.1 -0.33% +7.14% +6.59% +9.56% +4.40% +14.23% -1.10% -0.99% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on SKYT

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SKYT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SKYT Strategy →

Why Analyze SKYT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SKYT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SKYT historically offers an average upside of +15.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SKYT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SKYT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SKYT performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +5.85%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.