Latest signal:
SMTC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 19 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-07 → 2025-02-10
⚠️ Small sample size (19 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SMTC alerts reach +3.82% profit potential within 129 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.06%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, SMTC typically reaches +3.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
How SMTC compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SMTC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | 09:26:17 | $40.16 | -2.34% | -3.72% | -6.67% | -9.04% | -6.37% | +0.35% | -2.27% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-06 | 09:29:51 | $65.48 | -0.20% | -0.38% | +0.82% | +0.76% | +0.98% | +2.81% | -3.79% | +0.49% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-26 | 09:27:37 | $63.37 | -4.99% | -5.40% | -3.18% | -1.77% | -0.41% | +5.16% | -9.25% | +0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-09 | 09:29:32 | $29.64 | -1.00% | -0.56% | -0.64% | -0.49% | +2.06% | +2.60% | -1.48% | -0.84% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-07 | 09:27:45 | $30.09 | -5.28% | -2.48% | -0.83% | +0.30% | +3.62% | +6.33% | -8.54% | +0.27% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-06 | 09:29:53 | $44.38 | +1.60% | -5.52% | -5.54% | -7.66% | -14.42% | +5.59% | -0.96% | -0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-05-01 | 09:29:04 | $37.2 | -0.24% | +0.55% | +1.21% | -1.24% | +1.18% | +5.08% | -2.63% | -1.37% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-01 | 09:26:05 | $28.58 | -0.49% | +3.11% | +7.21% | +3.76% | +2.76% | +7.91% | -2.90% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-28 | 09:25:10 | $28.2 | -3.55% | -0.14% | -1.38% | -1.52% | -2.52% | +0.85% | -3.55% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-27 | 09:28:25 | $26.3 | +0.34% | +0.72% | +1.81% | -1.33% | +5.93% | +8.06% | -1.98% | -0.49% | WIN |
| 2023-12-07 | 09:27:00 | $18.4 | +4.29% | +7.34% | +7.56% | +8.53% | +5.54% | +11.30% | -2.17% | +0.54% | WIN |
| 2023-10-20 | 09:29:00 | $16.22 | -0.06% | - | +0.86% | +0.80% | +1.66% | +3.98% | -2.53% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-10-19 | 09:26:00 | $16.7 | +1.38% | -2.40% | -5.64% | -6.95% | -4.31% | +2.40% | -1.50% | -0.42% | WIN |
| 2023-09-14 | 09:28:00 | $24.1 | -0.48% | -0.17% | -2.18% | -2.57% | +4.48% | +4.69% | -3.73% | +0.41% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-08 | 09:26:00 | $26.86 | -0.95% | -9.27% | -9.12% | -13.92% | -12.43% | +1.90% | -1.82% | +0.07% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-30 | 09:25:00 | $24.99 | -0.28% | -1.78% | -1.16% | -1.52% | +1.04% | +2.80% | -5.72% | -1.32% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-13 | 09:27:00 | $29.41 | -2.14% | -1.73% | -0.99% | -1.80% | -0.95% | +0.07% | -2.21% | -1.80% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-07 | 09:25:00 | $28.58 | -1.26% | -1.80% | -1.98% | -3.60% | -4.72% | -0.35% | -0.35% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-07 | 09:25:00 | $34.2 | -0.34% | +0.76% | -0.57% | -1.08% | -0.73% | +1.02% | -0.67% | -0.56% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SMTC Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 52.6% win rate, SMTC has -0.93% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SMTC profitable.
🔧 Fix SMTC Risk/Reward →Why Analyze SMTC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMTC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMTC historically offers an average upside of +3.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SMTC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.6%, SMTC shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.21%) outweigh average wins (+2.93%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SMTC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.93%). This suggests SMTC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.