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SMTK Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-11-25 → 2024-12-05
⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SMTK alerts reach +18.10% profit potential within 137 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.98%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.63x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, SMTK typically reaches +18.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 14.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
How SMTK compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SMTK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-05 | 09:28:03 | $4.11 | +2.02% | +2.19% | +6.93% | +1.58% | +5.84% | +9.49% | -3.65% | -2.68% | WIN |
| 2024-11-26 | 09:28:00 | $7.75 | -12.89% | -11.20% | -22.71% | -17.55% | -5.81% | +1.81% | -1.29% | -1.16% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:27:25 | $4.0 | +2.48% | +7.50% | +8.62% | +24.25% | +35.75% | +43.00% | -10.00% | -2.25% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SMTK Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, SMTK has -2.80% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SMTK profitable.
🔧 Fix SMTK Risk/Reward →Why Analyze SMTK with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMTK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMTK historically offers an average upside of +18.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SMTK Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SMTK shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-12.89%) outweigh average wins (+2.25%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SMTK shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -2.80%). This suggests SMTK is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.