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TYGO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-24 → 2023-08-09

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Tigo Energy, Inc. Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 03, 2021 🔗 www.tigoenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $249.0M 👥 Employees: 140
Tigo Energy Inc designs solar power conversion and storage products that provide customers with more choice and flexibility. Its mission is to deliver smart hardware and software solutions that enhance safety, increase energy yield, and lower operating costs of residential, commercial, and utility-scale solar systems. Geographically the company generates revenue from EMEA, Americas, and APAC.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-8.52%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+35.49%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.97%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.97%
Best: -0.55%
Worst: -11.38%
Trades: 0/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -8.60%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: -11.49%
Best: +0.08%
Worst: -18.66%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -8.52%
Avg Winner: +2.31%
Avg Loser: -19.35%
Best: +4.52%
Worst: -30.46%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -6.39%
Avg Winner: +4.23%
Avg Loser: -17.01%
Best: +7.48%
Worst: -28.52%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +6.55%
Avg Winner: +79.03%
Avg Loser: -17.61%
Best: +79.03%
Worst: -40.72%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +35.49%
Best MFE: +124.63%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, TYGO alerts reach +35.49% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -8.52%
Worst MAE: -11.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 8.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, TYGO typically reaches +35.49% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 28.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.37%
Best Gap +3.08%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How TYGO compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TYGO: -5.97% Sector: -0.04% -5.93%
EOD Gain
TYGO: +6.55% Sector: +13404.08% -13397.53%
Avg MFE
TYGO: +35.49% Sector: +2.71% +32.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TYGO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-09 09:26:00 $12.39 -0.55% +0.08% +4.52% +0.97% -3.07% +8.96% -10.41% -1.86% LOSS
2023-06-02 09:29:00 $18.44 -7.97% -5.31% +0.11% +7.48% -9.06% +7.92% -11.61% +0.76% LOSS
2023-06-01 09:29:00 $12.02 -3.99% -10.50% -8.24% -5.49% +79.03% +124.63% -11.40% +3.08% LOSS
2023-05-24 09:25:00 $21.44 -11.38% -18.66% -30.46% -28.52% -40.72% +0.47% -0.65% -0.51% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TYGO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -8.52% average gain, TYGO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TYGO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TYGO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TYGO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TYGO historically offers an average upside of +35.49% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TYGO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, TYGO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TYGO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TYGO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -8.52%). This suggests TYGO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.