Latest signal:
VIAV Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2025-01-31
⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, VIAV alerts reach +1.39% profit potential within 90 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, VIAV typically reaches +1.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
How VIAV compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical VIAV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-31 | 09:26:30 | $11.97 | +0.84% | +6.43% | +3.51% | +5.18% | +0.58% | +7.83% | -0.42% | +1.25% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:51 | $9.89 | +0.10% | -0.35% | -0.30% | -0.56% | +0.10% | +0.96% | -1.01% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-12-19 | 09:25:49 | $10.34 | -1.26% | -0.42% | -0.77% | -1.89% | -0.97% | -0.29% | -1.55% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-20 | 09:26:00 | $10.71 | +2.43% | +2.43% | +2.15% | +2.80% | +2.80% | +3.22% | +1.73% | +2.89% | WIN |
| 2023-03-02 | 09:28:00 | $10.54 | +0.76% | -1.07% | -0.33% | -0.52% | +0.19% | +0.97% | +0.09% | +0.38% | WIN |
| 2022-11-04 | 09:25:00 | $12.15 | -1.65% | -5.43% | -5.39% | -10.37% | -9.55% | +1.73% | -0.41% | - | LOSS |
| 2022-04-08 | 09:25:00 | $15.0 | +0.67% | -0.17% | -0.30% | -0.13% | -0.60% | +0.67% | +0.27% | +0.33% | WIN |
| 2022-03-16 | 09:25:00 | $15.93 | -0.82% | -0.06% | -0.53% | -0.09% | +0.44% | +0.50% | -2.20% | -1.19% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-01 | 09:25:00 | $16.4 | -0.67% | -0.55% | -1.65% | -1.62% | -2.38% | -0.12% | -2.29% | -0.67% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-22 | 09:25:00 | $16.57 | -0.18% | -0.72% | +0.18% | -0.15% | -1.45% | +0.30% | -0.97% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2022-01-18 | 09:25:00 | $16.94 | -0.65% | -1.39% | -2.07% | -1.92% | -1.42% | -0.47% | -1.24% | -1.24% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ VIAV Shows Negative Expectancy
With 45.5% win rate and -0.04% average gain, VIAV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VIAV for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze VIAV with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VIAV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, VIAV historically offers an average upside of +1.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 VIAV Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, VIAV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VIAV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: VIAV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.04%). This suggests VIAV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.